Tuesday, April 24, 2018

On S-300 For Syria.

There is a lot of talk about Russia supplying Syrian Air Defense with S-300 complexes ever since  the United States (and its lapdogs of UK and France) launched missile attack on Syria on April 13. It was then that Chief of GOU (Main Operational Directorate) of General Staff General Rudskoy in no uncertain terms stated that S-300 will be delivered to Syria. Since then this topic became hot-hot-hot and not least because of Israel having her own view on that. Indeed, if to follow open sources, as TASS noted today, the delivery can happen as early as the next month or two. And here is the conundrum for both Israel and US, which is an extension of the Israel in the Middle East.  

As is the case with Russophrenia, that is a condition where the sufferer believes Russia is both about to collapse, and take over the world. Since 2013, instances of this ailment have reached epidemic-like proportions in certain parts of Washington, London and Brussels.  Israel and the US must run a tight routine to present famed S-300s as a over-hyped and not really good AD complex while simultaneously show its deadliness to both Israeli and US Air Forces. It is not an easy task, it takes, as with any schizophrenia, an immense task to combine two mutually exclusive opposites in one entity--this is the task for Orwellian world only. And the attempts on doing this never ceased since April 13. Obviously, the actuality on "the ground", so to speak, after missile strikes on April 13 was such that it shook very many both in Israel and US--Syrian aged AD turned out to be on the order of magnitude more effective than was expected and that brings forth immediately this very issue of S-300s which are generation or two newer than Syria's Osa, S-125s and S-200s

In fact, those Russian S-300s are so "not dangerous" and so "not effective" and so represent "no danger" to vaunted IAF that Israel's Defense Minister Avigdor Lieberman promised today to destroy them before they will become operational.  

At this stage I have to ask a question--are they really that dumb in Israel? Israel long ago crossed the actual red line which was drawn for her by Putin in his meetings with BiBi that at some point of time Israel will have to stop bombing Syria, which, if they forgot both in Jerusalem and Washington, is an independent state and has all rights which come with this independence, including defense of own borders and airspace. Russia was more than accommodating with Israel when delayed for years delivery of S-300s to Syria, as was settled by the contract. In the end, Russia even dragged her feet until recently with delivery of same S-300s to Iran--all under both requests and pressure by Israel and combined West. Finally, the patience ran out and Tehran got itself long awaited S-300s and Syria, it seems now, is about to get her own--those "over-hyped" and "lacking in capability" S-300s.

The question, however, remains--if those S-300s are junk, as many claim, why so much hysteria? Come on, let Russia deliver those measly incapable outdated S-300s and then attack them again once they are operational and show the whole world how inefficient they are, right? Well, not quite. At issue here is the history, also well known to Israel, of Soviet/Russian produced Air Defense Complexes which have a combat history and reputation simply unmatched in the world. From Vietnam to Middle East wars, to recent events--even old Soviet complexes, when properly integrated, provided excellent targeting and ECCM "coverage", performed admirably. How will new systems perform? Let's put it this way--Israel is getting increasingly bellicose and threatening precisely for the reasons of knowing that S-300 will be able, in a well trained hands, to close Syria's airspace for both Israeli Air Force and its stand-off weapons. Well, the US will also feel even more restricted in Syria. But even larger issue looms behind all this Israeli rhetoric--who gave Israel the right to attack neighboring country, often under lame excuses and threat inflation? That is the main issue, the rest is a derivative of Israel's habit, until recently, to do what she wants in Syria's skies. As it seems now, this MO is coming to an end. In the end, Russia may provide an umbrella until Syrian S-300s are being deployed and then go fully operational--let the Israeli Air Force deal with even "less capable", "junky" and "inefficient" S-400. Those complexes are all hype, right?    

In related news, Donald Trump wants to leave Syria, again. Sure, so one may expect new false flags and orders by the impressionable POTUS to launch other attacks at Syria's non-existent "chemical weapons" and other imaginary facilities which "produce" them. So, I think getting Syrian AD their very own S-300s is a good idea. And who would believe any word Trump gives. After all, it is Israel who runs US foreign policy. Remember the Speech?

It took only 15 months. Make your own conclusions.   

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