Thursday, April 17, 2025

Vannevar Bush Was A Genius ...

 ... today's Washington is not. Apart from SVR (a euphemism for Russia as a whole, in this case) dropping gloves--and London better start worrying--Douglas Macgregor's drops the bomb of sorts about "the voice from Mar-a-Lago" when explaining a horrifying depth of military incompetence of Washington. Mind boggling. I elaborate.  


When The Shit Is Really Good.

Thanks to Katzmans who provided video of the Ze's analytical process.  

Президент Украины Владимир Зеленский сообщил, что, по данным украинской разведки, Китай поставляет вооружения России, в том числе артиллерию и порох. "Мы, наконец, получили информацию о том, что Китай поставляет оружие РФ. На сегодняшний день у нас есть общая информация от Службы безопасности, от разведки - о порохе, артиллерии. Я думаю, что уже на следующей неделе мы сможем более подробно об этом рассказать. Мы считаем, что представители Китая участвуют в производстве определенных видов вооружения на территории России", - сказал Зеленский журналистам на брифинге в четверг, 17 апреля.

Translation: Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky reported that, according to Ukrainian intelligence, China supplies weapons to Russia, including artillery and gunpowder. "We have finally received information that China supplies weapons to the Russian Federation. As of today, we have general information from the Security Service, from intelligence - about gunpowder, artillery. I think that next week we will be able to talk about this in more detail. We believe that representatives of China are involved in the production of certain types of weapons on Russian territory," Zelensky told reporters at a briefing on Thursday, April 17.

Here is the process, this is really good shit:

Generally speaking, you shouldn't be surprised with anything coming out of 404 anymore, especially considering an active disposal of last remaining sperm bank of 18 to 21 years old VSU "soldiers" on all kinds of operational axes in 404 by Russian forces, and the picture is rather grim. Russia continues to drop gloves off. My today's video talks about SVR and UK, today, however, Maria Zakharova states about Germany:

And against this background, one of the main sponsors of the slaughter and destruction of the Slavs of our region comes forward - Germany - one of the main sponsors, historical, by the way. When such madmen come to power, they again begin to whip this half-dead horse, forcing it to get up somewhere and go on the attack. What attack? What offensive?

This all is coordinated and that tells you everything about Russian attitude towards Europe and, especially considering a fine-tuned language by the SVR--something is happening between Russia and the US which we do not know yet. 

Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Merchandizing, Merchandizing! (c)

 As Great Yogurt used to say))


Or this. 


Nima and Me ...

 Live now. 



Inevitability.

What kind of inevitability am I talking about here. Part of the answer is in excellent Larry Johnson's write up on delusions of A. Wess Mitchell. 

I want to draw your attention to an article by A. Wess Mitchell that appeared in the National Interest in August 2021. The article, A Strategy for Avoiding Two-Front War, is an excellent summary of how the US foreign policy elite view the world — i.e., the United States faces two formidable enemies, Russia and China, and we need to figure out a way to screw them over and maintain our hegemony. But Mitchell is not engaged in an academic exercise… he prepared a version of this paper for the Pentagon Office of Net Assessment in fall 2020This was a road map for the war in Ukraine — i.e., provoke Russia into attacking Ukraine and then, with Western help, beat the hell out of them.

The article Larry is talking about is exactly the point--it was written, while warning against "two-front" ordeal based on ignorant assumption that the US can actually win a single separately against Russia, or separately against China. This is utter delusion--the US cannot and never could. Remarkably, it is the Desert Storm (Gulf War 1.0) which is the proof which stares into our faces. It took the United States and allies the tacit approval from the Soviet Union and half-a-year to assemble under the most favorable conditions the force (while bombing Iraq with impunity) which dealt with backward, third world Saddam's Army.  

Reality is, strategic level thinkers of Russian Army haven't been impressed, pointing out a manifestly inferior Saddam's force and ideal conditions which allowed assembly of the US Army. Many still continue to refer to Desert Storm as a yardstick--yardstick it is not and never was. But what does inevitability have to do with it all? Very simple, as Larry did in his post, as I do for second decade--INEVITABILITY of deconstruction of the American military myths of the 20th and 21st centuries. And even when sounding reasonable, as Mitchell does:

Option 2: Defer competition with the stronger. A second sequencing strategy is to delay rivalry with the stronger of two opponents in order to deal conclusively with the weaker. The mid-sixteenth-century Republic of Venice employed such a strategy to deflect the threat of the rising Ottoman Empire and deal conclusively with its mainland rival Milan. A similar logic guided Britain’s ill-fated quest in the 1930s to appease Germany in order to prioritize naval resources for the Far East and buy time for rearmament in Europe. In today’s context, a deferment strategy would require America to palliate disputes with China and avoid outright military collisions with Beijing in order to concentrate pressure on Russia, with a view to eventually shifting attention to China at a later date. Taken to its logical extension, this strategy would require at least a partial reconsideration of the NDS’ hyper concentration on China. If pursued on the historical pattern, it could potentially even entail an effort to enlist a “responsible stakeholder” China, at least tactically and temporarily, in the effort to isolate what is the more truculent Russia.  

This all is the result of a complete ignorance of operational and COFM factors in strategic considerations (both military and state's grand strategy) and of historical illiteracy as far as the strategy is concerned. Bad habit of drawing parallels to Middle Ages without understanding the physics and mathematics of XXI century world and warfare. SMO helped to dispel America's delusions about itself. It simply inevitably deconstructed them. 

Tuesday, April 15, 2025

No Way!

 Nah, I am screwing with you))

The EU will once again delay plans to eliminate its dependence on Russian energy, amid ongoing debates within the bloc over the future of the Nord Stream 1 and 2 pipelines, the Financial Times has reported. Nord Stream 1, which once delivered Russian natural gas to Germany, and Nord Stream 2 were damaged in a sabotage attack in 2022. However, one string of Nord Stream 2 remains intact. Talks of potentially reviving the pipelines have resurfaced amid recent joint efforts by Russia and the US to end the Ukraine conflict. Originally slated for release in February, a roadmap detailing steps for cutting the EU’s energy reliance on Russia by 2027 was first put off until March and is now expected to be unveiled in May, the outlet said on Tuesday. Uncertainty over US President Donald Trump’s proposed tariffs has also reportedly contributed to the postponement, as the energy trade could become a key issue in EU-US negotiations. “It’s a mess,” an EU diplomat told the FT. “How does the US fit in all this? How do we diversify?’‘

I am sure, I am 146% positive that this guy and his team in Moscow are in this position:

Because once your balls are in this thing (Europe's virtual balls):

It is really difficult (almost impossible) to extricate your extremity from this, when the grip, by the virtue of geography, history, resources and this proverbial COFM, is so tight that you are left with two options only: get into scrambled eggs business or submit. The dynamics (huge growth) or Russian LNG sales to EU tell us about Europe's predicament. But then again, those could be last vestiges of the common sense among people who cannot repeat their, once a century event--invade Russia and get destroyed. This time Russians may not be so magnanimous and will turn Europe into the parking lot. Very many Russians want to end this once and for all. I don't blame them. 

NATO and Its Nazi Vassal ...

 ... are good only at fighting civilians. Meanwhile, Mr. Lavrov pours some very cold water over Witkoff's hopes and the details about discussion of larger NATO issue between Russia and the US emerge. Root causes, again. As correctly was noted--Russia wants peace, Trump wants ceasefire. Also, the level of coping with a humiliating failure of the NATO armor in 404 reaches a fever pitch--Russian BMP-3 almost died from a Homeric laughter after being compared to IFV Bradly. ATGM Kornet is scratching its ... whatever they can scratch in a complete bewilderment from this coping pseudo-military BS by some US journo. 


China Bets On Europe.

 Here is where some people will have difficulty grasping the issue.

China has ordered its airlines to halt all jet orders from American manufacturer Boeing in response to President Trump hitting the country with tariffs as high as 145% on Chinese goods, according to a report. Beijing has additionally told Chinese carriers to not purchase any aircraft-related equipment from American companies, Bloomberg News reported, citing people familiar with the matter. The order comes after China imposed a 125% tariff on American goods over the weekend, which on its own would have doubled the cost of US-made aircraft and parts, Bloomberg reported. Boeing shares dipped 3% in premarket trading Tuesday over the pause in shipments to China, which the company views as one of its biggest growth markets despite being dominated by rival Airbus.

It would have been absolutely naive to think that Trump would scare China, China can cause the US a tremendous economic pain. But here is the thing--commercial airspace is where China is very vulnerable and depends very much on the West's technology. It is true--Chinese airlines prefer Airbus planes but as I pointed many times--look at what is considered nominally "Chinese" C919:

Immediately, the issue of LEAP (France-US) engines maybe brought to bear by the US and that can create a serious obstacle for C919 which IS needed considering a gigantic scale of Chinese air travel market. If you think, however, that everything is in the clear with Airbus, well ... What if I tell you that even A320 NEO flies on either LEAP or Pratt and Whitney engines--all could be immediately sanctioned even for Airbus. So, this one is not easily resolved. But China had no other option but to try hit the US via Boeing. So, we have to wait and see where it all goes, because this one is not about consumer goods--it is about strategic industry, maybe top 2-3 which defines a true superpowerdom. 

Monday, April 14, 2025

On A Lighter Note.

 This is universal, alright. The story of my life))



Well, That Is True ...

 ... to a very large extent, but let's not forget your first term in which arming 404 went into overdrive. 

Trump described the conflict between Russia and Ukraine as “Biden’s war.” “This is not my war. I’ve been here for a very short period of time... He gave them billions and billions of dollars. He should have never allowed – If he had any brain, which he didn’t have and doesn’t have… – that war to start.” “I think frankly he [Russian President Vladimir Putin] had so little respect for Biden that he started it for that reason. And obviously, he didn't get along very well with [Ukraine’s Vladimir] Zelensky or anybody else. And now you have millions of dead people, and those people – every one of them – should be alive right now,” Trump added.

But by the looks of it and by the yet another mess in your national security team still dominated by neocons and warmongers, you learned absolutely nothing in terms of foreign policy the first time around. Now, you are issuing risible "deadlines" being the head of a loser in this war and you are on your way of making this war yours.

Meanwhile, one of the greatest statesmen of our time responds:

MOSCOW, April 14 - RIA Novosti. Russia and the United States have not yet agreed on the key parameters of the agreement on the settlement in Ukraine during the contacts, Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov said. "No," the minister said, answering a question from the Kommersant newspaper whether it was possible to formulate the main parameters of the agreement during Russian-American contacts. "The key components of the settlement are not easy to agree on... They are being discussed," he stressed.
You see, reality is a bitch and the only thing being discussed today, once all of the layers of diplomatic pigeon speak, pathos, protocols and PR are peeled off, is how much Moscow is willing to save whatever remains of the American face in this conflict which the US lost by a mile. 

James Kunstler gets to the heart of the matter:
Town and country, what human society at its best was composed of, has got to be rearranged. This is something that MAGA is not talking about. MAGA looks like it is seeking a reenactment of the years 1950 to 1964. That isn’t going to happen. What then? The tech broz propose something that looks like an A-I printed robotic future. They are drunk on their own Stanford University brand Kool-Aid, hallucinating a future that is little more than math dressed in spandex.
We live in the now, and no matter how we convulse--it is the COFM (Correlation of Forces and Means) which defines global dynamics. We better learn to live with this. Modern world is nothing but an entangled web of differential equations and probabilities thrown at us and we better grasp its complexity. 

Sunday, April 13, 2025

What R 8.4 Trillion Buys You ...

 ... if you follow a direct conversion of currencies. I know, I know, but still. In this case R 8.4 trillion issued for the Russian Navy to the end of this decade converts roughly to $100 billion. Take a look at this, as an example from 2016. 

Project 11356 frigate at the signing of the acceptance documents came out at the prices of 2010-11 with R to $ rate then at 30 to 1 ...
... at roughly (let's round it up) R 14, 000, 000, 000 which when divided by 30 gives you a rough price of about $ 467, 000, 000 which is reasonable (more than reasonable) for the frigate of this class with the state-of-the-art AD complex and 3C14 VLS capable of launching all modern Russian cruise missiles, including 3M22 Zircon. Most likely the actual price for this type is somewhere around $400,000,000 and this is for the ship whose strike power in Surface Warfare makes ANY surface combatant in frigate class rather underwhelming. 

Now comes the issue of the pr.885M SSGN of Yasen class (all of which are capable of launching hypersonic 3M22 Zircon) and here we have the price range of R 47,000,000,000, but again in prices of 2011-2014, give and take (in Russian)
To not complicate matters, let's assume that the newest (floated out a few days ago) Perm SSGN is around $1 billion give and take. For comparison, latest Virginia-class SSN-800 USS Arkansas (its latest class's Block) will cost already in excess of $4 billion. So, we are beginning to see this "magical" ratio of 1 to 4 or 6 whenever comparing Russian and American technology. Let's omit here venturing into qualitative characteristics. 

Now, let's take a look at pr. 22350M ("improved" Gorshkov-class). For some reason WiKi gives the actual cost of the first hull of the class as $250 million. It is unrealistic, especially for the ship class armed with extremely advanced AD suite (Poliment-Redut) and being a carrier of all types of weapons, including Zircon. The likely cost of it is around $500 million, with much larger "Super" Gorshkov cost being around, give and take, $700 to 800 million. Comparison with the US Navy's mainstay Arleigh Burke-class DDGs (Flight III DDG-51) is also rather startling because the cost of a single hull will cost the US Navy in excess of $2.5 billion. Her we make qualitative comparison--DDG-51 is no competitor with ANY (earlier or "super" version) of Gorshkov-class in Surface Warfare. Simple as that, in ship-to-ship engagement DDG-51 will not know what struck it and will not be able defend against the salvo of super-sonic 1,000-kilometer range P-800 Onyx or 1,500-kilometer range hypersonic 3M22 Zircon. Here we arrive to the main point, not only Russian ships are much less expensive than any US main sub and surface combatant, but they are simply much better armed, while being highly competitive in terms of sensor and signal processing suites. In other words--Russian Navy gets much-much more bang for a proverbial buck. 

Which brings us to a very rough shopping list through 2030-2032. The white elephant or proverbial 800-pound gorilla. Will Russian Navy get new aircraft carrier(s). No doubt, Admiral Kuznetsov which is now a completely new ship in propulsion, sensors and air wing, will return to the fleet probably this year. Russians are not in a hurry; they just want to do it right. But the question is--what about new ones? Something tells me that Russia may consider couple of the new carriers and those will be nothing like what combined West operates. Each of them will likely run into the $5 to 6 billion range, including proper basing, and that gets us immediately over $12 billion in costs: 100-12 = $88 billion. Still, a lot of dough left. And that is when it all becomes interesting.
 
Russian Navy plans to procure first Husky (Laika) class subs sometime after 2030. We can only guess what those subs will be, but by the time Russian Navy will be ready to procure the first one, it will have continuation of the pr. 885M SSGNs and, highly likely, yet another "improved" Yasen-class, call it "super" Yasen if you wish and the fleet of these subs will be much larger than officially adopted run of 12 contracted hulls. Maybe 20? Take additional 8, which gives you roughly $8 billion and that gets us: 88-8=$80 billion. Still, a lot of dough. Laika (Husky) class is this unknown which may modify SSGNs construction. But no worries, Lada-class SSKs with AIP are already coming online and they are needed despite improved Kilo's (pr. 636) entering the fleet at a good pace. How many Ladas will be there? Again, the plan is for 12 but likely more. The guess for Lada's price is around $300-400 million. 

Per Gorshkovs, the only thing I can say is--many. Especially 64 cell "super" Gorshkov and, eventually, turning into DDG territory. But a rough estimate for 10 "super' Gorshkovs--$8 billion, and don't torture me with all those "Lider" class DDGs--I don't know. And then we enter the territory of Poseidons, underwater drones, newest weapon systems (new hypersonics, new SLBMs et al), additional AD for naval bases, possibly new carrier combat aircraft, complete update of ASW/Patrol aviation and financing of the new R&D among many other things. Mind you, these $100 billion DO NOT include salaries and benefits, those are covered by other programs. But one thing is clear--it is a dramatic boost for Russian Navy which already shapes itself as a mighty alternative to carrier-centric navies of the past and we may only guess how it will look like even 5 years down the road. 
In conclusion, again--Perm is NOT the first sub capable of launching 3M22 Zircon. All previous Yasens can also do that, but Perm is the first purposely built for using those hypersonic missiles, even all 32 of them)) 

Yalta 2.0 ...

 ... is possible only with victors--combined West is a loser in the war. Keith Kellogg's wet dreams about dividing 404 are directly from the WW II and Yalta 1.0 in which the US and GB were VICTORS. But then again--Kellogg is old, neocon and, most importantly, he is an American general which makes him not fit for any kind of real war activities. I make an excurse into wonderful London War Diaries of Mollie Panter-Downes to contrast attitudes in WW II and today. Recall famous Truman's inhuman remark: “If we see that Germany is winning, we ought to help Russia and if Russia is winning, we ought to help Germany, and that way let them kill as many as possible, although I don't want to see Hitler victorious under any circumstances.” This is how Anglo-Saxon "elites" think. And these are almost exactly the words of Minister Colonel Moore-Brabazon--it created a shitstorm among regular hard working and hard fighting British folks in 1941. 

The more things change, the more they stay the same. 

Yes, It Is Time ...

... to start talking about American generals. They simply lie, all the time--is this a combination of malice, corruption, cowardice and ignorance. Likely, and this is a diagnosis. It is especially potent when it comes from US officers of courage, honor and integrity like Larry Johnson and Daniel Davis. 

I also address American generals' delusions about war and peace in my today's video. 

Saturday, April 12, 2025

One Of the Most Powerful Photos ...

 ... from the Great Patriotic War. 


A Soviet soldier returns to a devastation of a bare land. Everything he owns is in his sacks, his son doesn't have shoes. In 16 years, Soviet people will conquer space. What matters in all this is that it was true ... Those who never saw Sevastopol or Stalingrad in 1944, there is nothing to talk with them about. 

No American serviceman will ever understand that. 



When You ARE ...

 ... a rock star)) Antalya, Turkey and people try to get to see and hear Sergei Lavrov. Russia's "isolation" is complete)) 



Totally Agree With Larry ...

 ... and his conclusion about those 4 + hours of Putin with Witkoff. 

As I write this, the clock is tolling 2300 hours eastern. By this time tomorrow night, we will have some indication of whether or not a war with Iran is on the horizon. Trump’s inside man, Steve Witkoff, stopped off in St. Petersburg, Russia today to have a chat with Vladimir Putin. That conversation reportedly lasted over four hours. I take that as a good sign. What did they discuss? The White House insists the discussion was about Ukraine and how to move forward with a deal to end that war. I am pretty sure that took up some of the time, but I also believe that Iran was discussed… in detail.

Very highly incredibly likely--Iran was a central point of this discussion. Apart from obvious and here is Lavrov verbatim, today:

Лавров заявил на Антальском дипломатическом форуме, что президент США Дональд Трамп понимает необходимость устранения первопричин конфликта на Украине для его разрешения, передает ТАСС. Он подчеркнул, что устранение коренных причин является единственным способом решения проблемы и установления длительного мира. По его словам, Трамп был первым западным лидером, кто несколько раз убедительно отметил, что вступление Украины в НАТО было бы огромной ошибкой. Лавров также отметил, что у России и США есть потенциал для налаживания отношений. «Потенциал есть всегда», – заявил он, отвечая на вопрос о возможности более активных действий по улучшению отношений между Москвой и Вашингтоном.

Translation: Lavrov said at the Antalya Diplomatic Forum that US President Donald Trump understands the need to eliminate the root causes of the conflict in Ukraine to resolve it, TASS reports. He stressed that eliminating the root causes is the only way to solve the problem and establish lasting peace. According to him, Trump was the first Western leader who repeatedly and convincingly noted that Ukraine's accession to NATO would be a huge mistake. Lavrov also noted that Russia and the US have the potential to improve relations. "There is always potential," he said, answering a question about the possibility of more active actions to improve relations between Moscow and Washington.

So, the delicate dance continues. And Chinese have a field day with the whole thing:

Yep, that Baltic statelets for you, alright. Pretty astute description of the situation from Chinese. In related news, I am still in awe from allocation of R 8.4 trillion for Russian Navy. You all know that Russians do not sell to Ministry of Defense toilet seats for $600 or nails for $37 per one nail--you can end up in prison really fast for this type of business. Russian admirals are salivating now)) And do not forget the date today:

Yep, The Day of Cosmonautics in Russia. And Russians have plans which are in practical stage already for the nearest future:

As you know, Russians love themselves space stations. 

Friday, April 11, 2025

Friday ...

 ... Nothing better for Friday than Jackie's blues. She can play anything, though ... 



Russian Navy's R 8.4 Trillion.

There will be many ships and subs coming. British military cretinism is off the charts--that's what happens when you do not have real military education, military history which is falsified through and through, and The Times commits the media equivalent of the Charge of the Light Brigade by exposing sheer incompetence and malice of British top command. But then again, only in UK a humiliating defeat at Dunkirk, and only then with some Hitler's good will, or killing a Light Brigade by throwing it at Russian guns can be viewed as an achievement. This all defies logic and common sense--I guess mental breakdown from recognizing own nothingness in UK played a role. 


They Made a Discovery.

 WOW! 

In accordance with American doctrine, anti-aircraft defense has never been the real strong point of European armies. Indeed, according to NATO, it is the air force that must ensure the control of tactical air threats, thanks to a fighter and support fleet (Awacs, tankers), far superior in number, quality and training to the Russian air forces. However, the war in Ukraine has shown that it is no longer necessary to fly over the enemy's airspace to carry out tactical strikes, but also conventional long-range strategic strikes against the enemy's key forces and infrastructure. Thus, most of the destruction recorded in Ukraine, concerning command infrastructure, ammunition stocks, as well as civil infrastructure and works of art (energy, communication, etc.), was the consequence of strikes by Iskander-M and Kinzhal ballistic missiles, Kh-35, Kh-55, Kh-101 and Kalibr cruise missiles, as well as Geran-2 long-range attack drones, without the carrier vectors ever having to penetrate Ukrainian airspace. In fact, when faced with Russia, Europe is more exposed than ever, facing a threat against which it has not fully prepared itself. Indeed, today, the European armies align, together, less than 50 long-range Patriot, SAMP/T and S-300 anti-aircraft batteries, of which only half have anti-ballistic capabilities against short-range missiles, such as the Iskander-M.

Well, my not so dear European "friends", I have news for you--whole US fighting doctrine is obsolete and is from WW II. US concept of air war is altogether from BEFORE WW II and is nothing but modified pre-WW II (1920s) Duhe's ideas dressed in advanced radar and high precision weapons. NATO air forces are a joke which wouldn't be able to compete with Russian VKS which are networked from ground up and make NATO's, let alone Euro NATO's, air defense look like expensive toys. This is the price NATO pays today by exposing itself as a corpse, which chocked on its own Kool Aid about "finest fighting force in history" and Top Gun: Maverick. 

NATO is a corpse. All that remains is the grotesque performance art of a diplomatic zombie stumbling from summit to summit, mouthing tired clichés about “shared values” and “burden sharing,” even as its core strategic logic lies rotting beneath the surface. The Atlantic Alliance, once the steel scaffolding of Western security, has become a hollow ritual. Its military readiness is an illusion. Its political cohesion is fraying. Its future, if it has one, lies not in revival—but in reinvention or replacement. 

Meanwhile, Witkoff met with Putin. 

He carried the message from Trump. We can only speculate. British military and its highest officer corps are a joke, now we know this because The Times exposed it, while trying to put the lipstick on the pig. I speak about it in my today's video. 

Thursday, April 10, 2025

3M80 Moskit.

Well, I really appreciate this guy's (same guy together with H.I.Sutton) who bought 404 propaganda and photoshop about Rostov-on-Don SSK (allegedly "destroyed" by Stormshadow, remember?) getting into the business of trying to stay objective when talking about Soviet/Russian Navy. Good:

There is only one problem, naturally: 3M80 Moskit is "slightly" faster, let's go to the most authoritative in terms of data (not operational overview) legendary guide by Captains, PhDs in naval engineering Kuzin and Nikolsky:

As you can see yourself, 3M80 Moskit was from the get-go a M=2.5+ anti-shipping missile. 

And in this case, Mr. Sub Brief misses one key point: in 1984 the radio horizon of the CG of Ticonderoga-class was around, let's be generous, AN-SPS at 20 meters, let's count with 3M80 20-meter elevation--about 32 kilometers. But here is what Mr. Sub Brief doesn't know, Moskit wasn't flying straight, because it also could see the target with its active radar homing head from 32 kilometers and instead of flying at 20 meters at terminal it was beginning to maneuver violently, including, but not limited to, conducting anti-AD "gorka" (hill) maneuver with insane g-loads and it was done at the speed of M=2.5+. If you think that Aegis and whatever was carried then in MK 41 VLS and Sea Sparrows could handle that, let alone a salvo of 4-6-8 of those--I have a bridge to sell you. You may say, nah, it is just M=0.3 he made a mistake here. 

OK, here is this difference of M=0.3, it is almost 100 meters per second, it is also 358 kilometers per hour or 223 miles per hour which is exactly the cruise speed of B-29 Superfortress. No biggie, you see--the glorious tradition of presenting grossly reduced BS as a viable tactical-technical data on Russian weapons and platforms continues. Is there some psychological issue behind all that? You can bet your ass on that. It is called palliative therapy ... But then again, recall the "story" about Rostov-on-Don sub. I rest my case. 

Garland and Me ...

 In 2.5 hours, actually. 6:00 PM PDT, 9:00 EST.


Larry Posted an Excellent ...

 ... long read by Peter Henseler. I strongly recommend reading it. 

Trump’s desire to reach an agreement with Putin is palpable. He has many irons in the fire – too many? Witkoff is not sure of the facts, and a lack of historical awareness could become a stumbling block. Putin is waiting – because he can.

It is a good overview of the balance of REAL power today and also about a thing which I speak and write about ad nauseam--history. Especially nowadays, with 80th anniversary of defeat of Nazi Europe (yes, Europe) in WW II. Henseler gives a much-needed reminder of why Russians have issues with Hollywood and military history curriculum in the US military academies and war colleges. I surely do have. 

Wednesday, April 9, 2025

Some "Math" ...

 ... from official sources. 

КУРСК, 10 апреля. /ТАСС/. Российские военнослужащие занимаются в том числе эвакуацией тел солдат Вооруженных сил Украины из приграничных районов Курской области, счет идет на десятки тысяч. Об этом ТАСС рассказали в российских силовых структурах. "Киевский режим даже не пытался эвакуировать тела уничтоженных вэсэушников. Более того, многие украинские военнослужащие скончались от полученных ранений, брошенные "побратимами". В настоящее время российские военнослужащие занимаются в том числе эвакуацией тел украинских солдат. Счет идет на десятки тысяч", - сказал собеседник агентства. Он добавил, что российским бойцам после освобождения Гуева осталось выбить ВСУ из населенных пунктов Олешня и Горналь Курской области.

Translation: KURSK, April 10. /TASS/. Russian servicemen are also evacuating the bodies of Ukrainian Armed Forces soldiers from the border areas of Kursk Oblast; the number is in the tens of thousands. This was reported to TASS by Russian security agencies. "The Kiev regime did not even try to evacuate the bodies of the killed Ukrainian servicemen. Moreover, many Ukrainian servicemen died from their wounds, abandoned by their "brothers." At present, Russian servicemen are also evacuating the bodies of Ukrainian soldiers. The number is in the tens of thousands," the agency's source said. He added that after the liberation of Guyev, Russian fighters still have to drive the Ukrainian Armed Forces out of the settlements of Oleshnya and Gornal in Kursk Oblast.

This is to merely remind everyone the statistics on Kursk "operation" by NATO, which today is counted in 72 990 of personnel (most are KIAs, not just "casualties"), 405 tanks, 331 BMPs, 300 APCs, 2260 armored vehicles, 597 artillery pieces et al. That makes this image, if anyone wonders, a rather timid affair, especially when it MUST be considered it was done to surrendering and defenseless Iraqi troops.

Here, in Kursk and now Sumy oblasts, the affair is entirely different, and it does not fit General Cavoli's numbers. Just doesn't. And we all should keep in mind that Russian MoD's modus operandi in terms of reporting 404 losses is extremely conservative, bordering on understatements. As I already stated--sometimes Russians simply do not (and often cannot) count those killed in all kinds of tanks, APCs and armored cars and they just leave it be, leaving to already tactical rear medics and funeral teams deal with sorting out mangled bones, burned flesh and whatever is left after the visit by artillery, Kornets or loitering munitions.

E.g. After this thing hits your position (RSZO Tornado) with thermobaric warheads (constantly used in SMO) --there is very little left of human (euphemism for VSU personnel) to even count or consider a "unit" of 200 (very few live as 300s after Tornado and it is not a good life). That is why not only Russians have to evacuate tens of thousands of VSU corpses and remains, but the uncovering of VSU's shallow mass graves will also only drive these statistics higher, much higher. And then--this is just ONE of many operational axes in SMO. That also partially explains the animal cruelty of VSU and NATO personnel (Poles and French are especially noted) towards POWs but especially towards Russian civilians--mass executions, especially of children, rapes, robberies et all--those are all hallmarks of European "civilization". Everything, every single instance is documented and attached, and (war) criminal cases are opened by Investigative Committee, among others. 

This guy--he is safe now and should count his blessings being Russia's POW--talks about what kind of "training" British military provided him. 

Even he admits--it was shit. Twice taken to range to shoot, the rest--theory. Yes, this is what British military is--all theory and no skills and understanding of modern war, The guy also complains how he was treated in British hospital after he fell sick. Of course, for British he is a Ukrainian subhuman, a cannon fodder to be used against hated Russians. Western "elites" lost all remnants of their humanity, and Russians MUST count their blessings when seeing what Europe is and why the way it exists the only thought in Russian mind today is: Europa delenda est. The US is a different game. 

Semantics In Warfare ...

 ... not just matters, it matters a great deal. UK Army and French dream of Odessa. Wet dreams. Lavrov confirms what I spoke about Europe for years. 



Nima and Me ...

 ... live in 35 minutes. 



Tuesday, April 8, 2025

Glenn Diesen and Yours Truly ...

 ... today. 



What!?

 Seriously?)))

The United States successfully shot down a hypersonic missile in a recent test, showcasing its missile defense capabilities. On 24 March, the Missile Defense Agency (MDA) and the U.S. Navy conducted the ‘Stellar Banshee’ test off Hawaii’s coast. A Medium Range Ballistic Missile (MRBM) with a Hypersonic Target Vehicle (HTV) was tracked and virtually intercepted by the USS Pinckney. The test, part of ongoing efforts to counter hypersonic threats, also involved the Hypersonic and Ballistic Tracking Space Sensor (HBTSS) satellite. MDA Director Lt. Gen. Heath Collins highlighted the importance of defeating hypersonic missiles for national defense.

In related news, I am a virtual millionaire and this thing is called ... ahem, PR. It is also called "electronic launch" against mockups of the target, in other words--you allow your AD complex to electronically develop firing solution without launching anything. Here, this is how it looks like:


Sometimes it is better to keep silent than parade oneself desperate and, frankly, stupid. 

FYI About The So Called Rybar.

In reality crypto asset of 404 who developed a following among some of the journos (euphemism for uneducated hacks) both in Russia and in the West and is defrauding public on "donations" for SMO. The guy is a coward (he lurks at this blog too) and he is the military interpreter, but unlike people the scale of Colonel Lester Grau who is a superb military professional, Mikhail Zvinchuk (aka Rybar) is a shyster with no serious military education. And here we are today ... 

Михаил Звинчук: Всю тактику ведения боевых действий необходимо пересматривать. - Сейчас абсолютно всю тактику ведения боевых действий необходимо пересматривать. Нам в действительности нужны землеройные войска с какими-то подземными подводными лодками, которые закапываются щитами для прокладки тоннелей, проходят под укрепрайонами противника и минными полями и где-то в неожиданном месте всплывают. Это действительно изменило бы ход боевых действий, но пока это всего лишь фантастика. Потому что зачастую самая главная проблема - это преодолеть серую зону, передний край и пару линий обороны, потому что в условиях доминирования что с одной, что с другой стороны на определенных участках дронов и повального минирования всего и вся зачастую сделать это крайне сложно.

Цитата из выступления в Мастерской новых медиа

Translation: Mikhail Zvinchuk: All combat tactics need to be revised. - Now absolutely all combat tactics need to be revised. We really need earthmoving troops with some underground submarines that bury themselves with shields to lay tunnels, pass under enemy fortified areas and minefields and surface somewhere unexpectedly. This would really change the course of combat, but for now it is just fantasy. Because often the most important problem is to overcome the gray zone, the front line and a couple of lines of defense, because in conditions of dominance on both sides in certain areas of drones and the widespread mining of everything and everyone, it is often extremely difficult to do this.

Quote from a speech at the New Media Workshop 

No, this is not April 1st joke. This is who and most of "military bloggers" from Russia are--military hacks in it for money. BS sells, this one, however, is on another level. 

Monday, April 7, 2025

He Died A Few Days Ago ...

... one of those huge Hollywood figures. Just wanted to remember him ... 


They talk about Iceman, but no--he became Jim Morrison in Doors. It was transformation rarely seen in cinematography. He sang the songs with Jim's voice. And, of course, we all have been as young and as reckless as him))

Yes, we were)). Val, RIP ... 

Why THE Great One ... Says This ...

 ... because being Russian is not cool nowadays, but it is what it is. Russians found out who Wayne is. He is Russian in his grandfather's bloodline... 


So, Gretskieys have been in Russian Empire from the get-go, so when Wayne says that his grandfather was Russian--yep, looks like)). And again, Wayne was nothing but a class act and truly The Great One. 

He Is No "Nemesis" ...

 ... he is an illiterate shyster with zero background in anything. For Russians it is easy to understand who he is by referring to Gavriliada and Nikifor Lyapis-Trubetskoi from the immortal 12 Chairs. These types only know how to defraud already fraudulent media such as Forbes, and no--he is not my "nemesis". To be a nemesis you have to have a proper "weight" in the field, to be a competitor. My circle is the circle which this creep simply cannot grasp nor approach. My military background is beyond his grasp. 

The idea that some imbecile with degree in "fiction" and the comic "author" knows anything about warfare is scandalous. I wonder why he wasn't thrown out to the dumpster, where he belongs, earlier. So, David Axe was axed. I am ready to discuss with him the realities of 21st century warfare anytime. Hey, nothing wrong with giving people a show once in a while. I am almost tempted to put here Gladiator's screenshot. Ah, hell with it ...


David Axe is a war criminal, who played a serious role in a catastrophe in 404 and he should be tried for his role in pushing 404 propaganda. Motherfucker cannot even grasp what he supported precisely due his ignorance and being a whore that he is ...