As was confirmed now:
Update: this was fake.
... in Budapest. No, not tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands--watch videos on X, gigantic.
First Petr Tolstoy, now no less than Mr. Nebenzya:
US officials have repeatedly warned Ukrainian military commanders that their attacks on Russian oil infrastructure could trigger global energy price hikes, the Financial Times revealed on Friday. Washington is reportedly worried that this could threaten Joe Biden’s re-election bid. The White House has “grown increasingly frustrated by brazen Ukrainian drone attacks” on Russian refineries, terminals and other oil infrastructure, the British newspaper quoted one of its sources as saying. Washington’s objections come months before a presidential election in the US, where “Biden faces a tough re-election battle this year with petrol prices on the rise, increasing almost 15% this year,” the newspaper noted.
Good Lord! Does Washington establishment know anything beyond elections? Of course, not. They do not have even basic skills in governing, have zero understanding of war, but they sure as hell know how run election campaigns, which is a euphemism to BSing the public into a complete cognitive dissonance and then into stupor, that it loses any resistance to manipulation. And this is not the end of it for the West. A lot of opinions are flying today about Europeans willing to send troops to 404, the main problem which is excluded from the discussion, however, is WHAT troops can, say, France, Poland and Netherlands send to 404? And the issue is not just sending troops there--let's imagine, for the sake of argument, that Paris somehow is able to put together up to 100,000 troops--how are they going to sustain them? Remember Libya? France and UK ran out of precision-guided munitions in three days. And, of course, one needs to feed and replenish ammo stocks for these troops--good luck with that.
Now, for those who are getting over-excited about prospects of a nuclear war once NATO "official" forces get their asses kicked, which is a probability approaching one (100%), the US will not get involved--in fact, the United States desires nothing more than seeing a lovely war in Europe, while staying behind Atlantic "ocean wall". Of course, US troops in Europe will be annihilated if it escalates, but by now it is just the matter of speculation. At this stage I am getting sick and tired of European excuses about "we didn't elect" Macron, Scholtz, Meloni et al. Enough, you did elect them, unlike 2020 elections in the US, Macron's victory over Le Pen was a landslide--you cannot fake such a massive gap in elections. Germans tolerated insidious economic and cultural suicide by Merkel regime, which is also responsible for wrecking much of the European economy, as long as Germany lived relatively well--this time is over. There is always a hell to pay for our sins on a global, as opposed to personal, scale. This revelation:
”Nothing terrifies a sitting American president more than a surge in pump prices during an election year,” former White House energy adviser Bob McNally told the FT.
should tell Europeans, granted they even comprehend ramifications, that:
In related news, Victor Orban congratulated Vladimir Putin with reelection and stressed Hungary's desire to increase cooperation with Russia (In Russian). You see how it works between normal people?
A very basic geography and ONE of the factors which dictate pragmatic or openly pro-Russian position in Slovakia and Hungary. If someone thinks that it is all just an accident--it is not. You can easily find videos of Russian bikers from Night Wolves riding in Slovakia for Victory Day celebration, with St. George ribbons and Red Army flag and you will see many enthusiastic and supportive Slovaks. But here is also a hint, this red angle which is made of borders of Slovakia and Hungary with 404.
Hungary automatically means Austria and access to Serbia. The more Russia grows economically, the more gravitational pool she will provide in this region. Russians already begin to live better than most Europeans. They also have way more freedoms and, in the end, the common sense. Look at this family from Canada who moved to Nizhny Novgorod. Both heart-breaking but also inspiring story.
He gave a very substantive interview to Ukraina.ru, which I strongly suggest anyone who reads this blog to look at. Use Google Translate. Here is the piece which is of utter importance for Russia's strategic planning. No, not just land bridge to Transnistria--this has been discussed often, by yours truly too. But, get a load of this:
... settled the issue of Hungarian enclaves in former Ukraine already? Here is significant interview to Polish resource by former Hungary's MP a day ago.
Of course, Victor Orban will not say anything like this openly, but it is implied in contemporary Russian-Hungarian relations. That fits not only into the pattern of these relations but into a historically firm trend of smaller nations changing their geopolitical orbits around major powers. In Russia's orbit one gets to be assured of energy supply and, under some circumstances, protection, including military one. And then, of course, there is the issue of culture. Russians do not really care what political system or religion one has, as long as it is not hostile and socially and culturally traditional. Hungary fits the bill perfectly. Nobody asks anyone to love Russia. Strictly business and what could be defined as conservative (not in the American sense) values.
Does Orban believe in miraculous revival of Europe and its culture? I don't think so. Just today, fresh from Hungary.
You see, Hungarians can be Russophobic all they want, as long as they maintain reasonable relations, Russians do not care. If that is not enough, Turkiye's Interior Minister has his very interesting (and realistic, I may say) take on the whole US-EU and Turkiye relations:
I cannot say that he is incorrect. Soylu surely has a point. This trend on many nations having a point will continue, until the whole EU structure collapses. Per US attempts on China. Well, those Washington's "strategists" should sort their clusterfuck out in 404 first, and Russians observe it in genuine amusement.
Certainly looks like, because he seem to be not only successful in keeping Hungary warm and cozy, but also well fed and mentally normal. Recall my points about Hungary's position here and here.
But, of course, we are not simpletons here and we understand that geopolitical significance of all that is much greater than any economic, however important, considerations. Are there forces in Hungary which work against Orban and his government? Absolutely! They are well financed by EU and its intel outlets and they cannot take it not only in geopolitical terms, but also because inevitably Hungary will make a good living as intermediary between those in EU who want to survive and Moscow. And I mean a good living. That hurts the most against the background of a complete economic and mental collapse of Europe and this is just the start. So, is Orban a visionary? In some sense he is. Consider the background:
But today, it is Hungary getting what she needs from a pivotal country in emerging Eurasian economic and military colossus, and this one is not on the legs of clay. But in the long run, because of proper diplomacy and constant communications with Moscow, Budapest may add territories to Hungary and Viktor Orban will stop being a popular leader, he will become Hungary's legend. Do you think Kremlin doesn't understand that? Of course it does. So does Orban whose bet increasingly looks less and less risky but more and more wise.
Hungary begins to prepare.
Now, apart from this news, get this--a very positive, if not to say more--very pro-Hungarian article at Ria by Petr Akopov, titled (in Russian):
Европа еще пожалеет, что не понимала по-венгерски
It is clear that gas issue was just one of the topics discussed in Moscow. Plus, of course, all those pro-forma calls for cease-fire in Ukraine. What was discussed behind closed doors remains, for now, a matter of speculations but we know that is was discussed.
Hungary has no problems.
That also confirms earlier hypothesis that Orban discussed with Vladimir Putin more than just pure economic cooperation but also future security structure in Europe. Plus, of course, if true, which it seems, Hungary may become a "layover" for EU funds to Russia for energy and that will make Hungary very rich. Now, the bunch of chickens in Berlin begins to suspect something:
Somebody tell those morons in Berlin that the issue is not "immediate ban" but that their Grune energy agenda is a wet dream sold by uneducated frauds to brainwashed and also uneducated (part of) public. Get some, fvcking, real engineers in your government, they may explain to you realities of the energy and global resources. While at it, they may explain how REAL physical economy works. Germany used to have excellent engineers, I am sure some are still around.
Moscow, meanwhile, states:
I think Baltic states are first in line, then Western Europe (some nations) for a demonstration purposes. That, as you might have guessed by now, increases Hungary's "middle man" position even more not just in economic sense but in diplomatic too.
Here are the Euronews in Russian, sadly couldn't find those in English but many of you know how to use browsers to translate. So, the EU started the procedure to deny Hungary EU's subsidies for "erosion of democracy".
... why Fidesz and Victor Orban again won Hungarian elections in the landslide. Hm.
In related news, I, for the love of God, could have never thought that I will live to see Russian and Pakistani troops participating in joint exercises (and not for once--but regularly) and many Pakistanis expressing friendly feelings towards Russia, not to speak, of course, about growing economic cooperation from energy to weapons, to cultural exchanges. Unbelievable. But here we are today.
Per Ukie propaganda and fakes, which all eventually will be debunked, as were many previous ones, here is Bernhard's excellent take:
- Gonzalo Lira proves without doubt that four different Ukrainian propaganda clips with different actors were all filmed at the exact same location, a 'battlefield' with several long destroyed Ukrainian tanks --> Propaganda BTFO (video)
- Yesterday evening a Ukrainian station showed a video of Ukrainian troops driving through Bucha, north of Kiev, with several 'dead' people lying in the street allegedly 'killed by Russians'. There are two difficulties with these claims:
- One of the dead appears to move his arm: video
- Bucha was declared 'completely liberated' of Russian troops by its mayor on Thursday, March 31. Are we to believe it would take three days for such an 'incriminating' video to come out? Or that those 'dead' were lying there for three days with no one bothering?
But now for people who still worry that Russia "lost" propaganda war in the West, I will reiterate--Russia didn't "lose" anything because at this stage Russians don't give a rat's ass about what Western public thinks. As long as Russians believe in cause, and they overwhelmingly do, not to mention having a level of contempt towards the West unprecedented in the Russian history, it really doesn't matter. West becomes not that important for Russians anyway. It lost its allure long time ago and now that it revealed itself as a traditional mortal enemy of Russians, there is nothing to discuss with anyone there. By West, of course, I mean old classic Western Europe and the US.
... at all. I will remind you one thing I wrote last year, while demolishing Valdai Club Timofeev's (lack of) military expertise who, as well as other native Russian "experts" of this kind, RT loves to invite to spread ignorance around. Here is this "thing":
In fact, I am on record about Polish (and other East European) aspirations towards Western Ukraine for years. In the end, there are Hungarians and Rusins who already beg Victor Orban for protection for more than a year, there is Bukovina where Romania may get some satisfaction from the coming "loss" of Moldavia. So, RT reports:
Well, I think it is Ukraine which made a wrong choice, not Hungary who has been keeping much of its army near Ukrainian border for a while. And it goes without saying that Poles remember the original name of the Polish city currently known as Lvov, and it is Lemberg or Lwow. So, Alex Christoforou makes some announcements (with caveat, obviously) today about this Polish thing.
As they say, there is no smoke without fire, and I think the probability of Poland getting in is far from trivial. Also, circulation of such let's call them, for now, rumors has a significant military aspect behind them, because Polish Armed Forces are by far not the Russian Army and they follow operation Z very attentively calculating required force and I am sure behind closed doors Polish military people are pretty happy seeing reports of annihilation of large VSU forces, but especially those of Neo-Nazi formations, such as Azov "battalion", who have roots in the Western Ukraine. The more "banderistas" Russians bury, the easier it will be for Polish "peace keepers" to deal with whatever resistance they may encounter in and around Lwow.
In fact, the whole logic of the conflict dictates these events, including possible partition of what's will be left of Ukraine. In related news, while Western military "experts" (such as this "expert") from NYT continue to spew headlines like this:
...of what pragmatic non-ideological approach to foreign policy should be? In many respects it is. Victor Orban is a man who cares about his nation's prosperity and stability. Among major prerequisites for that is a foreign policy, which in case of a relatively small nation such as Hungary, serves interests of Hungarian people and business, not some ideological purposes. Apart from Hungary having a contract with Russia's giant Rosatom for new reactors for Hungary's only Paks nuclear power station, Hungary did this now:
Russia is pumping a lot less natural gas to Europe all of a sudden — and it is not clear why
Another theory, although analysts consider it somewhat less likely, is that because Gazprom believes Nord Stream 2 will soon be fully operational, it may not need to book further capacity elsewhere.
Turkey pledged its commitment to gradually enhancing commercial relations with one of its top trade partners, Russia, as the two nations look to reach their trade volume target, according to Trade Minister Mehmet Muş. “We want to develop trade with Russia in a balanced way on a win-win basis,” Muş said following his visit to Moscow last week, stressing Turkey's determination to bring the volume of commercial exchange to $100 billion (TL 845.4 billion), a goal set by the leaders of the two states. “We have serious cooperation in the field of energy. We want to expand and shift our cooperation there to different areas of energy,” Muş told Anadolu Agency (AA) Sunday.
$100 billion? Absolutely. As I said, Europe is becoming not that important for Russia and it is all for the better. So, Germany should keep in mind that one day she may wake up and find no good will left in Russia and for that she can blame only herself. Eventually, the transit through 404 will be stopped and this shithole of a nation will exist only on the handouts from those who helped to turn it into what it is today. Germany played and continues to play a huge role in creating this cesspool in the middle of European continent and Russians do keep the score.