... against the background of this news:
A precision strike by a Russian hypersonic Kinzhal missile has destroyed a Patriot air defense system in Kiev, the Defense Ministry in Moscow reported on Tuesday. The Ukrainian government previously claimed that Kinzhal missiles had been intercepted by the US-made weapons platform. The Russian military did not provide further details about the strike, which was the first time Moscow claimed to have hit the long-range system supplied to Ukraine by its Western backers. Kiev reported that it had withstood a massive missile attack by Russian forces on Monday night. The Ukrainian military claimed to have intercepted six Kinzhal missiles, in addition to various other aerial targets.
So, what do I want to remind you of? This:
1. Substitute Zircon for Kinzhal. Numbers will be the same.
2. And keep in mind that this is a THEORETICAL probability, which still is absolutely grim, because it is calculated on the assumption of a very small but not entirely trivial Pkill = 0.2 of AD missile.
In reality, Patriot PAC3 has about zero probability of kill of hypersonic weapon, especially in dense EW environment and in a combination salvo. I warned, that transfer of Patriot to 404 will end like this and... it did. Surprise, surprise. And here is the thing: NATO AD systems, be them ground based or ship-borne are absolutely useless against modern Russian weapons. I warned about ramifications here: