Sunday, May 14, 2023

To Give A Proper Perspective...

As you know, yesterday the Black Sea Fleet took the delivery of the latest of the project 20380 corvette Merkurii. Now, the Commander of the Black Sea Fleet, Vice-Admiral Sokolov, speaking to the Red Star informed, with pleasure that by the end of 2023 three more project 22800 Karakurt-class small missile ships will join the fleet. 

That means additional 24 Kalibr-Oniks or Zircon missiles in the first salvo, but then Sokolov disclosed a very interesting piece of information:
Speaking about ships only--namely SSKs, FFGs and MRKs of the Black Sea Fleet--Sokolov pointed out that they struck MORE than 180 objects of VSU critical objects, and then added that BRAV (Coastal Missile-Artillery Troops) struck more than 70 objects. Now, let me decipher a little bit why this is startling. Even militarily illiterate people understand that, depending on the object, ranging from AD radar to position of troops, let alone production plant, one has to strike them not with one or two missiles, but with the salvo. So, what is, then, the expenditure of missiles by Black Sea frigates, subs and small missile ships? I will go out on a limb here and will tell you that the average number will range from 4 to 16 missiles. I would propose to consider as an average a standard salvo load of 3M14 Kalibr by SSK of project 636, which is 6 (six) missiles. 

So, that gives us the average expenditure of missiles as 180 x 6 = 1,080 missiles. We add here those 70 objects struck by BRAV--primarily Oniks (of Bastion complex) and Kh-35 (of Bal complex) and we can say that plus-minus this adds another 200-300 missiles. Add all this together and we can see that the Black Sea Fleet alone launched around (plus-minus) if we round it: 1,100 + 300 =1,400 stand off high precision weapons, aka cruise missiles. Do not also forget that the aviation of the Black Sea Fleet was and is also involved in SMO, but this data is unavailable for now. What is known that SU-30SMs (and some SU-24) of the 43rd Fighter Regiment of the Black Sea Fleet are engaged constantly in combat missions. 

So, now, just by counting what the ships and BRAV of the Black Sea Fleet do, one can definitely get the economic framework, so to speak, or scale of the military-economic potential Russia brings to bear. Mind you--this is JUST the Black Sea Fleet, alone. If one looks at the US very own UGM-109 Tomahawk per Raytheon:

Tried-and-true: U.S. and allied militaries have flight-tested the GPS-enabled Tomahawk 550 times and used it in combat more than 2,300 times. Its most recent use came in 2018, when U.S. Navy warships and submarines launched 66 Tomahawk missiles at Syrian chemical weapon facilities.

Considering the fact that GPS-guided Tomahawks have been introduced in 1993, 30 years ago, it gives you a proper perspective of the scale of SMO. And, mind you, Russia still didn't introduce her main forces into the battle. It also gives you some explanation of the complete unpreparedness of the Western so called intelligence community and Pentagon (I omit here morons from media and politics) to face modern warfare and economic realities. This is your Sunday primer.

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