And a
face-palm to boot. US Ambassador to Russia Jon Huntsman's recent
statement in Vladivostok, I am sure, saw many smiling faces at the
round-table he was speaking to. People were smiling (ironically) against the
background of remote but recognizable thunderous Homeric laughter which was heard
from huge open spaces and all nooks and crannies of Russia's 11 (or is it 10
now?) time zones. In what can only be described as a bad joke, Huntsman
stated that President Trump:
has said repeatedly that he wants a better relationship with Russia. Repeatedly. And he has said quite clearly that he would like to engage personally with President Putin. Every time I’ve met with President Trump or talked with him about this subject, many times now, he’s said the same thing. From day one ... I think my President is very sincere when he says that he wants a stable, predictable, manageable U.S.-Russia relationship. And I think President Putin would like the same thing.
Obviously,
people are free to think and say whatever they want. I, for once, from day one
was very sincere in my desire to become first a firefighter, then cosmonaut and
then a manager of an electric power substation, but life influenced a minuscule
insignificant, in a larger scheme of things, me in a very different way. All my
sincerity went out of the window and I ended up receiving an equivalent of M.S.
in naval engineering and B.S. in what is defined as military sciences. Oops. So
much for me being "sincere" when pursuing my desires.
President
Trump is not a minuscule insignificant person--the opposite is true. By the
virtue of the Office he occupies he is an extremely important person in a
global sense. Yet, as none other than Machiavelli stated: "The first
method for estimating the intelligence of a ruler is to look at the men he has
around him."(c) Right. Do I have to continue form here? I will. I
already elaborated on the fact that I don't buy anymore all this Trump is a
hostage of the Deep State" narrative. Trump is not a hostage and,
frankly, these almost two-year long "signaling" of desires to be for
everything good and against everything bad in US-Russian relations are not borne
out by reality. There is not a single fact which testifies to any desire to
have any normal relations to Russia and the issue here is not that Trump
doesn't want that. The issue here is HOW Trump wants these relations—he wants
them on US conditions and that is not a "deal". It is the same good
ol' exceptionalist diktat approach which led the world to the brink and US to
an increasingly pronounced decline. This approach, obviously, is not going to
work with Russia, it already didn't work, and even if Russians understand (they
do) that Trump is driven by the politics of November 2018 mid-term elections,
nobody in Russia (with exception of fanatic Russophobe liberals) gives a damn
anymore about what White House thinks. A simple fact of the matter is that at
this stage Russian-American relations are wrecked beyond any repair. Trump may
want whatever he wants but US Establishment is unanimous in seeing Russia as
the enemy number one and Russians also know this damn well.
In the
end, Donald Trump sees Russia as merely a temporary disposable utility and he
cannot see Russia otherwise, once one considers a full totality of
"intelligence" on Russia which is being spread from the American very
political top down to mere mortals. As Patrick Armstrong's yesterday's piece
title correctly says:
No, Your Intelligence Is Actually Bad. Very Bad
As you may
all know, I wrote a whole book on how bad, in fact, atrocious this "intelligence"
is. Also on how dangerous it is. And it is very dangerous, since yet another "Chemical
Weapons" provocation is being readied in Syria (in Russian) and we may
see, yet again, Trump's desires, as an example, to "withdraw" from
Syria being dashed. I am not even sure he can predict himself, what I am sure,
though, is that Mr. Bolton is in a good position to give some insane "advice"
and, oh, the irony, we may again hope that the only adult in Trump's
Administration, James "Mad Dog" Mattis will have enough power of persuasion
to prevent a dangerous escalation which may lead to a catastrophic global consequences.
So, Mr.
Huntsman may say whatever he wants but he cannot undo a massive damage which was
dealt to a global strategic stability and Russian-American relations by this
very same President who allegedly wants all those wonderful things with Russia.
Nobody of any position of power wants anything positive with Russia in
Washington D.C. And that is the reality of it, including the Machiavellian
reality of Trump's Administration infested with Russophobes, American
"exceptionalists" and neocons—a precise combination of ignoramuses which
made modern United States not capable of any treaties or agreements, which are
not worth the paper they are written on.
It is a very sad state of the affairs and repeating diplomatic mantras will not help it. The worst part is that practically nobody in D.C. with the exception of some real military professional people in Pentagon and possibly few in the so called Intelligence Community understand that the only American "relations" with Russia possible at this current moment are those of negotiations about an American role in a new, very visible and tangible, world. But even this opportunity is being missed. What comes after that? If we avoid a global war, the most likely outcome will be the "signing" of the terms of capitulation by the US. I know it sounds humiliating and I personally don't like this outcome, so to avoid one it is either now, in the very nearest future, or… well. The time of words has ended and the US has only itself to blame in this matter. If Donald Trump cannot do it, then what are his words or his Office worth?
It is a very sad state of the affairs and repeating diplomatic mantras will not help it. The worst part is that practically nobody in D.C. with the exception of some real military professional people in Pentagon and possibly few in the so called Intelligence Community understand that the only American "relations" with Russia possible at this current moment are those of negotiations about an American role in a new, very visible and tangible, world. But even this opportunity is being missed. What comes after that? If we avoid a global war, the most likely outcome will be the "signing" of the terms of capitulation by the US. I know it sounds humiliating and I personally don't like this outcome, so to avoid one it is either now, in the very nearest future, or… well. The time of words has ended and the US has only itself to blame in this matter. If Donald Trump cannot do it, then what are his words or his Office worth?
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