Showing posts with label VSU "counter-offensive". Show all posts
Showing posts with label VSU "counter-offensive". Show all posts

Tuesday, August 1, 2023

No Shit!

Thanks to Scott Ritter who posted the screenshot of Politico in his UTube channel. Here is the Captain Obvious piece No breakthrough yet in Ukraine’s counteroffensive from this rag:

If Ukraine’s supporters were hoping for a breakthrough after Kyiv’s forces made a new push in the southeast of the country last week, they were sorely disappointed. The latest attack, which saw Ukraine throw in thousands of Western-trained reinforcements to drive south from the town of Orikhiv, has not yet yielded significant results, U.S. Defense Department officials told NatSec Daily this week, with one noting that the gains are being measured in the hundreds of meters. Ukraine now has 150,000 troops committed to the operation across three axes of attack, including multiple Western-trained brigades, said one of the DOD officials, who like others interviewed for this newsletter was granted anonymity to discuss operational details. But Kyiv is still keeping a number of forces in reserve, as soldiers continue probing heavily mined Russian defenses for weak spots. “They are making mostly small, incremental gains” on all three axes, the official said. “They are still facing stiff Russian resistance — second and third layers of defenses.” Pentagon spokesperson Brig. Gen. PATRICK RYDER referred questions about the counteroffensive to the Ukrainian military, but noted that “it has and will continue to be a tough fight for them.”

Well, somebody needs to give US MSM and many Pentagon officials a basic course in military history and a brief review of operations as reflected in Russia's field manuals and operational documents, the ones which are available to public. It might help, including the understanding of why all those Air-Land Battle(s) by Pentagon are fiction and exercise in operational and strategic wet-dreaming.  

I also have news for Politico and their "journos", when they report this:

Ukrainian forces are eagerly awaiting the arrival of the U.S. Army’s M1 Abrams main battle tank, which is expected as soon as early September and will help punch through Russia’s defensive lines. But as the operation grinds on, DOD officials expect the counteroffensive will last at least through the fall and possibly into the winter.

Shh, don't tell anybody, but Russians are also eagerly awaiting the appearance of the US Army's M1 Abrams MBTs and have been quite disappointed when learned that those Abrams will arrive without advanced electronics and active defense. I know, I know--they need another excuse the moment those M1s will begin to burn after meeting T-90M, PTRK Kornet or Krasnopol smart munition, or those nasty Mi-28s and Ka-52s, and that is when this excuse will be used: you see, we sent them inferior models. This is how the excuse will sound, word for word. But give British the credit where the credit is due--they first developed and procured (in Ukraine) completely Stealth MBT Challenger. It is so stealthy in visual diapason that no one have seen it on the battlefield so far. They are there, but not visible. That's what I am talking about--technology of the future. 

But when Politico publishes that:

Ukraine’s plan if Russia assassinates Zelenskyy. A Russian assassination would deprive Ukraine’s war effort of one of its most valuable assets.

Ze, run, run like hell, because THEY, not Russians, will kill you and throw your body away as a used condom, if your body will be found at all. Run, run... to Russia--the only place where there is no death penalty, so far, and where you have all chances to stay alive and even have three square hot meals (wait, does evening tea count as a meal?) and Russian prisons are great places for beating drug addictions--doesn't matter if you are a murderer, a serial rapist or, like in your case--war criminal. Run Ze, run! You are a used condom and Globalists need a martyr. No, not Greta Thunberg, but you fit all criteria perfectly. Do you want to die for 404 "Democracy"?

Friday, June 16, 2023

Larry On The Nature Of Polishing...

 ... the turds, which exactly what this VSU "offensive" is. 

This becomes even more profound, when Larry identifies this, quoting James Kunstler--"clusterfuck" as:

What we are witnessing is military malpractice on a colossal scale.  

Exactly. And as the facts are piling up we learn from The Man himself, that five Patriot PAC3 have been destroyed by Russia's VKS around Kiev, where they would have been naturally deployed (in Russian). And then Putin added: 

С.-ПЕТЕРБУРГ, 16 июн — РИА Новости. Истребители F-16, поставки которых ожидают от НАТО в Киеве, будут гореть так же, как горят на Украине танки "Леопард", заявил в пятницу президент России Владимир Путин. "Танки (иностранные. — Прим. ред.) горят. Несколько танков уничтожено. И это в том числе "Леопарды". И вчера было то же самое. И вчера были "Леопарды". Они горят. Так же будут гореть и F-16", — сказал Путин на пленарном заседании ПМЭФ.
Translation: St. Petersburg, June 16 - RIA Novosti. F-16 fighter jets, which are expected to be delivered from NATO in Kyiv, will burn in the same way as Leopard tanks are burning in Ukraine, Russian President Vladimir Putin said on Friday. "Tanks (foreign. - Approx. ed.) are on fire. Several tanks are destroyed. And this is including Leopards. And yesterday it was the same. And yesterday there were Leopards. They are on fire. Same will happen to F- 16s," Putin said at the SPIEF plenary session.
 
Actually, more than this is already burning in 404, and this is reputation of Raytheon--nearly finished by now--and NATO's concept of a Strategic Air-Space operation, because it is good only against defenseless nations. Plus, as I am on record for years now. Just one of such explanation from five years ago:
For starters all communications will be suppressed completely (OK, Ukies did encounter some of it), so will be any sensors in range. Simultaneously sustained fire impact will start into the operational depth (well, around 700 kilometers) to wreak a havoc with Command and Control, logistics, rear personnel etc. Tactically, same will occur with sustained fire impact (Iskander anyone?) and....well, let me put it this way--if that would be Ukrainian Army, by the time advanced tank and motor-rifle formations of Russian Army would start movement, the army such as Ukrainian will cease to exist as a force. 
At this stage we all know that VSU has been destroyed three times over and its C4 completely disrupted with catastrophic consequences. It is difficult to explain to average American general that in real war combat HQs of divisions or, higher level Joint Force will be detected, identified and then annihilated and nothing can stop this annihilation--zilch, nada, zero. They don't teach this in West Point or US war colleges. They don't have a grasp of that.

Tuesday, June 6, 2023

First Proof...

 ... of Leopards burning. From Russian MoD, no less. 

 

Forestalling murky streams of BS from all kinds of "bloggers" and TSIPSO, Russian MoD specifically pointed out that this is from yesterday. 

В ведомстве уточнили, что в ролике запечатлен момент поражения именно танков Leopard. 

Translation: MoD pointed out that video captures the moment of destruction of namely Leopard tanks.  

The silhouette in the video is definitely that of Leopard. Now, guess from three times why VSU blew up the dam? The butcher bill for VSU's attempted "counter-offensive" is horrifying, not least its 3,750 VSU KIAs in less than 48 hours. Pentagon really needs to review its Field Manuals, because obviously those need to be updated for the combat against serious enemy, wink, wink.   

Saturday, May 27, 2023

Ah, Yeah, Sure...

 Story, never ending sto-o-o-o-ry (c). 

Ukrainian forces are “ready” to launch their much-touted counteroffensive, the head of the National Security and Defense Council told the BBC in an interview on Saturday. Aleksey Danilov said the military top brass are now waiting for the right moment to launch the attack. “It could happen tomorrow, the day after tomorrow or in a week,” Danilov answered when pressed about a potential start of the counteroffensive, which Kiev has been talking about for months. A major assault was initially expected to start in spring or even late winter, but Kiev repeatedly postponed it, citing adverse weather conditions and the need to obtain all necessary weapons and equipment from western backers.Danilov said it would have been “weird” for him to reveal the exact date, as “that cannot be done.” He described the planned attack as a “historic opportunity” that his nation “cannot lose” if it wants to become a “big European country.” “We understand that we have no right to make a mistake,” he added.

Yes, I am sure Russia is completely at a loss with the date of this "offensive", because Russians, being primitive Asiatic people, fight based on stories told by locals. Speaking of which:

КОСМОДРОМ ВОСТОЧНЫЙ, 27 мая — РИА Новости. Радиолокационный спутник "Кондор-ФКА" для всепогодного и круглосуточного наблюдения за поверхностью Земли выведен на орбиту, сообщили журналистам в пресс-службе "Роскосмоса".Отделение космического аппарата от разгонного блока произведено в расчетное время", — сообщили в пресс-службе. Ракета "Союз-2.1а" с разгонным блоком "Фрегат" и спутником стартовала с Восточного в 0:15 мск. Через девять минут разгонный блок отделился от третьей ступени ракеты, после чего два раза включил маршевый двигатель и доставил "Кондор-ФКА" в расчетную точку. 
Translation: VOSTOCHNY COSMODROME, May 27 - RIA Novosti. The Kondor-FKA radar satellite for all-weather and round-the-clock monitoring of the Earth's surface has been launched into orbit, the Roscosmos press service told reporters.  "The separation of the spacecraft from the upper stage was carried out at the estimated time," the press service said. The Soyuz-2.1a rocket with the Fregat upper stage and satellite took off from Vostochny at 0:15 Moscow time. Nine minutes later, the upper stage separated from the third stage of the rocket, after which it turned on the sustainer engine twice and delivered the Kondor-FKA to the calculated point.
 
Officially, Kondor FKA is a satellite (there will be several of them) which are "designed", wink, wink, to serve agricultural and ice-surveying purpose. With resolution of 1 meter and the ability to see... underground facilities. Hm, I guess this good summary does the job:
As you may have guessed it, it is a very good ISR satellite(s) and its orbits, traditionally for Russians, are in 500-550 kilometer range, just in case some people in Washington decide to shoot it down. American SM-3s can shoot satellites at much lower orbits, if they are lucky. But why risk anything when you can get a very good picture from higher orbits. Plus, do not forget that now Liana is fully operational and, when one factors sensor (data) fusion from different sources, you get the picture--a very clear and almost real time picture. Make own conclusions.

Thursday, September 1, 2022

If True...

...which I believe it is, it merely confirms what I increasingly begin to state openly--combined arms operations incompetence:

American officials helped prepare the Ukrainian military for its counteroffensive against Russian forces in the south of the country, CNN claimed on Thursday, citing anonymous sources. In its article, the US outlet alleged that this assistance included joint “war-gaming” analytical exercises designed to help the Ukrainians get a clear picture of how much personnel and hardware they would need in different scenarios. US officials, meanwhile, reportedly were able to better understand what kind of equipment, munitions or intelligence Washington could offer to Kiev. According to the report, which cites multiple US and Western officials and also Ukrainian sources, Washington had suggested that Kiev should keep its counteroffensive focused solely on the Kherson region in the south of the country as opposed to trying to strike on multiple fronts, which had supposedly been the Ukrainians’ initial plan.

I don't know who "calculated" this ever important and defining thing--a required force (наряд сил)--for this "counter-offensive", but whoever it was, or were, they have huge issues with operational planning and with math, in terms of stating conception, objectives (task) and criteria of effectiveness by which to judge the outcome, which, now we all know. Evidently, as it follows from CNN report, the unnamed (of course) US "sources" still think that:

Among the factors that have allegedly tipped the scale more in Ukraine’s favor recently, the anonymous officials named the delivery of sophisticated Western weaponry, including the US-made High Mobility Artillery Rocket Systems (HIMARS), as well as supposed hostility toward Russian troops among large swaths of the population in Russia-controlled regions of the country. The latter, according to CNN, has been translating into guerilla-style attacks, assassinations and sabotage efforts behind Russian lines.

You cannot fix stupid and amateur, and that is how US (and Western, in general) "aid" to Kiev regime increasingly looks like. But I have been at it for such a long time that there is no need to dwell on this yet again. The conclusion is simple and self-evident--those who "plan" these "operations" for VSU are the same people who ended up having lied and, finally, had their ass handed to them by a ragtag Taliban in Afghanistan and elsewhere. You cannot expect a serious combined arms operations of scale and scope of SMO ability from the military which primarily fought COIN throughout its modern existence. Granted, that North Vietnamese were more than just very skillful guerrillas, those guys also knew how to fight a good fight with serious weapons. 

I am sure that this whole FUBAR with this "counter-offensive" which ended in a disaster, and pathetic attempts to sabotage IAEA visit to Zaprorozhie by trying to insert there two saboteur groups, which now have been annihilated, bear all hallmarks of the American "combined arms" planning which is primarily based around PR for the domestic consumption provided by pliable US media and have very little practical output in reality. In the end, even WaPo had enough with this "planning".  Now add here a procurement failure by Pentagon ranging from losing its industrial base to a perverted practices of R&D ranging from disasters with LCS, F-35 to a dismal performance of the US-made battlefield weapons, and one begins to get the impression about what constantly goes wrong. This also explains a desperation from seeing West's best proxy ever being annihilated in industrial quantities by a fraction of Russian Armed Forces. 

For the environment of America's top political echelon over-saturated with political "scientists", climate "experts" and lawyers it is impossible to explain, to get across the realities of real warfare and views of the nation whose military history simply dwarfs whatever the United States can present as a counter or alternative experience. This is not the reality "the finest fighting force in history" can easily accept, nor, possibly, judging by the spiraling out of control demoralization and declining quality of the force, even comprehend. 

So, I guess classic courses on mathematics, physics, tactics, operations theory and real military history can wait, because nothing "improves lethality" more than proper gender identification and controlling own microaggressions.  

In related news from the real world:

While Russia flatly responded to Washington:

This is the only language combined West understands, this and a credible threat of force. This is why Russia speaks now in broadsides and we ain't seen nothing yet(c). 

Friday, July 15, 2022

Oh, The Drama! Oh, The Gadgetry!

You all know that for many years I try to get a simple tactical and operational point across and that the US Army never fought under the conditions of a constant fire impact not only at the front-lines, but in the operational depth where your preposition areas, HQs of Divisions and Corps, ammunition and other materiel depots are subjected to constant strikes. Such as VSU learned, again, yesterday when 3M14 flew into Vinnitsa's Officer Club and wiped out the top brass of Ukie Air Force (whatever is left of it) and foreign "providers" of the remnants of the Soviet-era MiG-29s and SU-25s from former Warsaw Pact, now NATO, countries (in Russian). The United States Army simply has no reference point and any air-defense capability at the disposal of NATO today is simply insufficient or technologically obsolete to deal with salvos of Russia's stand off weapons. 

Evidently this fact somehow dawned on one of the US "veterans" who in dramatic exposition of resolve and "dedication to mission" decided to volunteer to fight for Kiev regime.   

A U.S. Army veteran who independently and voluntarily fought in Ukraine warned on Thursday that the hardest days of fighting the war are still to come, as the Russian military tightens its control over territory in the eastern part of the country. Retired U.S. Army Staff Sgt. James Vasquez, who has returned from combat in the country but plans to go back, told the congressional Helsinki Commission during a briefing that while the Ukrainian military is better off now with increased foreign support, the most difficult fighting lay ahead for soldiers. “We have much more support now, and we have the weapons and gear that we need to be able to fight properly,” Vasquez said to the panel. “The fight’s harder than it was when I left. And that was hard fighting when I left.” Vasquez shared moving and oftentimes difficult details of his time in Ukraine at the hearing, alongside retired U.S. Marine Corps Lt. Col. Rip Rawlings, who is providing logistical support to the Ukrainian military through he and Vasquez’ foundation, Ripley’s Heroes. Vasquez, who has gained a social media following through the videos he shares from the battle’s front lines, said he has “pretty much sold everything I owned” so he can return to the fight in Ukraine.

Why this veteran testified in a front of Congressional Helsinki Commission--a fraudulent outlet used solely for propaganda purposes--completely baffles me, but whatever the rationale is, it is good that Vasquez, and this retired USMC Lt.Colonel recognize the fact that "the most difficult fighting is ahead". Correct, because as Vladimir Putin stated clearly:

This means that if necessary the volume and the "weight" of the salvo to operational depth could be increased order of magnitude and that will have very little military romantics left for all those "veterans" of fighting third rate armies or, altogether, lightly armed insurgents. War is not about just learning how to wear the "tactical gear" and recognize foreign explosives and small arms. It is, per our good ol' friend Clausewitz, about "compelling the enemy to do our will". The best way to compel the enemy to do one's will is to destroy its will for resistance. The best way to destroy such a will and impose your own is to annihilate the enemy in industrial quantities and that task falls on the variety of fire means (огневые средства) of which Russia has huge variety and numbers. Like this:

You know, this Iz.305E--a lovely 25 kilometer range INS and GLONASS guided missile:

or this shaitan weapon. All of which received baptism by fire already in Syria. I, of course, do not talk about all kinds of hellish long range systems such as MLRS Tornado or Iskander, also with all kinds of very nice guidance methods ranging from inertial, to optronic to GLONASS, to radar or all of it combined. I bet Taliban or Saddam's Army didn't have those. That is why all those Western "advisers" in Ukraine today are desperately trying to collect some war correlates in order to figure out how to change US Army's field manuals and procurement policies in order to have the chance against those nasty freedom-hating Roosskies. I think it is too late and too little, but, hey, who am I to decide for Pentagon thinkers how to fight the armed forces of which, as it turned out, they had very little understanding. 

As one of the Representatives noted:

Rep. Joe Wilson (R-S.C.) lauded the veterans for their decision to volunteer in the Ukrainian conflict at the briefing. “Foreign fighters have actually come in to heroically volunteer and are enduring intense combat conditions and witnessing the gross human rights violations perpetrated by (Vladimir) Putin.”

Mr. Wilson, those are not really that "intense combat conditions". As the President of Russia stated--you ain't seen nothing yet. But even what has been seen terrified very many in the West. And Russia's main forces haven't been even introduced yet. So, if many confused and disoriented "veterans" from the West want to experience a real war, they will surely be welcomed by recon and fire power they never knew existed. 

But now, apart from "planned withdrawal" (a euphemism for running scared shitless from positions) from Seversk, which is about to fall, Ukraine's Minister of Defense Reznikov, who just a few days ago proclaimed those plans to start counter-offensive with the aim to retake Southern Ukraine from those Rooskies, suddenly (not really), and you have guessed already, announced (in his interview to The Times) that there was "misunderstanding" and that the talk was merely about "developing plans on de-occupation" (in Russian). No shit. But the drama, the drama! I wonder how's the movie, a Hollywood creep Sean Penn is directing, about "heroic" Ukies progressing? When will we see this wartime drama about Nazi regime in Kiev and its enablers from Washington, London and Western media and... Hollywood? Cannot wait for it.