Showing posts with label M.A.D. is dead. Show all posts
Showing posts with label M.A.D. is dead. Show all posts

Monday, October 17, 2022

Larry's Excellent Elaboration On The Fate of MAD...

 ... Larry correctly makes the point about growing technological disparity between Russia and the US:

If you are a Russian military planner, you realize that M.A.D is no longer a reality. In the event that Russia believed it faced a genuine existential threat from the West from a nuclear strike, even a tactical hit, the Russian military could present President Putin with a viable plan that would destroy the U.S. nuclear response with limited (albeit horrific) damage to Russia. I am not suggesting that Russia would walk away unscathed. But Russia, with a field tested, integrated anti-ballistic missile defense system, would have a better than even chance of surviving a nuclear exchange with the United States.I will repeat–this is a last resort action and I am steadfastly opposed to it. But I think it should be part of the public discussion. Too many ignorant pundits and politicians in the West disparage Russia’s military capabilities as second rate at best.

Remarkably, and I posted Larry's thoughts on this too, this applies to the United States in so far as the realization of a very real technological gap growing, both in missile and anti-missile systems, which creates a rationale for the US to use a first strike as a preventive measure. It doesn't mean that the probability of these scenarios are high, but they are not trivial either. I agree with Larry, this MUST be the part of public discussion. And yes, I agree, Mutually Assured Destruction is pretty much a dying concept against new Russian technologies being rolled out and deployed in industrial quantities. Do not forget how S-500 is described (presented):

Translation: The S-500 is designed to destroy all existing and prospective means of aerospace attack of a potential enemy in the entire range of altitudes and speeds.

So, make your own conclusions. And then there are A-235, S-300V4 and who knows what else is coming, and it is coming.