Larry Gives A Spread...

On HIMARS in his latest: 

Is The HIMARS Multiple Rocket Launch System a Game Changer? Short answer, no. At least not for Ukraine’s military. But it is a game changer for Lockheed Martin stockholders, with the defense contractor enjoying great publicity and new orders. Although the Ukrainians are firing hundreds of HIMARS a month they are having limited success in causing significant damage to the Russian military personnel and ammo depots. In fact, it appears Russia is shooting most of the HIMARS rockets out of the sky with their air defense systems. That lack of success has not stopped Lockheed from locking down new contracts with the Department of Defense. But if you think that Lockheed is cranking out HIMARS at a rapid rate, think again. The production process is best described as leisurely:

Then Larry provides this importnat spread. BTW, pay attention to virtual disappearance of Tochka U OTRK missiles from the arsenal of VSU. There is no secret--VSU largely ran out of them, with overwhelming majority of them shot down by Russian Air Defense. Per Olkha, which is an inferior Ukie derivative of a venerable Russian BM-30 Smerch (Tornado), as Russian air defense people of SMO state, Olkha is even larger, albeit still manageable, problem than HIMARS. As per Putin's "we haven't started anything yet"(c), you can observe those "starters" steadily streaming towards the theater of operations. 

Or here...

There are dozens of such echelons on their way to the West every day. Make you own conclusions. Larry's excellent piece will help.

Larry Gives A Very Good Treatment...

 ... to the logic of current situation and he also gives it a great moral and psychological treatment. Speaking of the Crimean Bridge and an avalanche of the excrement poured over Russia in general, and Putin in particular in the West, Larry notes:

But I suspect Vladimir Putin and his advisors are not keen on emotionally ventilating and shaking their fists at the empty air. Russia is going to do more than open and window and scream in anger. I anticipate something more substantive and severe is in the offing on the battlefields of Ukraine than choleric shouts.The outlines of the impending Russian response are becoming clear. For example, Putin appointed a new commander to lead all of its forces in Ukraine, General Sergei Surovikin. This is noteworthy because, prior to today, Russia had not named a single commander to oversee all of its forces in Ukraine. This indicates, I believe, a decisive shift from the Special Military Operation to a combined arms war effort.

But what Larry points out specifically for all kinds of hysterical types demanding "revenge" now:

While some pundits have speculated that Russia might unleash its intelligence and special operations forces to carry out sabotage and “terrorist” attacks against U.S. and European targets, along with clubbing Ukraine with an iron fist, I do not believe that Vladimir Putin wants to sink to that level and give the West more reason to label it as a sponsor of terrorism. I do not mean to imply that Putin is afraid of being labeled a “terrorist”, but I think Putin understands that “terrorism” is an act of weakness and he is not about to take actions that portray Russia as feeble. Strength, baby, strength.

This, my friends, is a real professional speaking and he speaks the truth. There is a Russian saying (I mean it--it is famous): when Putin speaks, you cannot get enough of his speaking, when he maintains silence, one can shit own pants. Read a superb piece at Larry's blog.