Saturday, October 3, 2015

Some Fast Thoughts on Syria

Being extremely busy, I had no chance of offering any remarks on the situation in Syria. I will try to make some points now (very fast).

Hysteria in US media re: Russian airstrikes on IS in Syria revealed....well--it revealed nothing what have not been known before. But let me summarize.

US main-stream and even some "alternative" media and, the so called, "expert community" should implement several measures which may, in the long run, save them at least some remains of what is known as a face--first, they should fire themselves and fade into the obscurity. This hysteria, such as preposterous claims of Lt. Colonel Ralph Peters on Fox News:

Peters: Putin Is Humiliating Obama, Wants to Humiliate the U.S. and Our Military     

tells us this:

1. Peters, who for some unknown reasons, possibly because he met several Soviet/Russian officers at some point of time and served in some "intelligence" outfit in Germany during Cold War, has a reputation of "Russia's military expert" in the US. I don't know, if writing some mediocre prose about Soviet Armed Forces gets one into the "expert community" then, sure, he is an "expert". Never mind that for decade now this "expert" community lives in a state of the deer caught in the headlights of the oncoming car--it can not understand what, why and how hit them when dealing with Russia. Peters is from this cohort of "experts". But his rant exposes as much of his "concern" for the looks of the US and its Armed Forces as his sheer incompetence (the guy still thinks that Iraq misadventure was great) in the subject he allegedly was specializing throughout his "intelligence" career--Russia. 

I have news for Ralph Peters:

a) Russian Air Force is in Syria not because it wants to "humiliate" US or its Armed Forces--they are doing a swell job themselves --but because, if this "military expert" community doesn't know, Russia does have an agency in what she does and it is, as a rule, a very well calculated risk taking. 

b) Russia is in Syria to clean out the mess which Turkey, Saudi Arabia, Israel and US created there under the pretext of Assad's "crimes"--they turned Syria into the hot bed of terrorism. They empowered IS and other terrorist organizations and now are lying about it. The snafu with "moderate" rebels, who are nothing more than "gentler" version of IS and US support for them, the whole 5 or 6 of them, testifies to the fact of utter irresponsibility and malice on part of the US, whose media and political "elites" think that there are bad and good terrorists. 

c) Russia is in Syria to fight Islamic terrorists THERE rather than in her own North Caucasus, which makes total geopolitical sense for Russian Federation. And, yes, this campaign makes comparisons not only warranted but irresistible and those comparisons are not in US favor. That is why there is so much lying and hysteria in US media an their "experts". 

UN slams 'inexcusable' Afghan hospital air strike that kills 19  

Which brings us to the second point:

2. Some operational and tactical issues. Recent enormous spike in the operational and tactical "assessments" of Russian force deployed to Syria, done mostly by...sigh..whom else--humanities "educated" journo hacks--reveals a huge panic against the background of collapsing American military-technological narrative, which endured since the Gulf War-1. The favorite schtick of Tom Clancy "educated" military "experts" is High Precision Weapons. Obviously, for "experts" of such background, who followed Russian doctrinal and operational development from US media (that is were lied to), it comes as a surprise that Russia DOES have High Precision Weapons and uses them when necessary. 

While many pointed out that Russian planes such as Su-25SM and Su-24M in Syria use free falling bombs (OFABs), which they do, it didn't occur to them that even free-falling bombs, when used with appropriate navigation-aiming complex, provide a very high level of accuracy. But then, of course, there are GLONASS-guided KAB-250s and 500s which are carried by Su-34s and are used widely in Syria against terrorist installations and bunkers. 

For those who are interested in the Soviet/Russian High Precision Weapons, they may find some answers here:

Soviet/Russian Guided Bombs

United States does not have monopoly on HPW and all other types of high precision and stand off weapons since 1970s. Obviously, Russia has other options for striking high value terrorist targets--deploying at some point Black Sea Fleet's missile boats, which carry Kalibr missiles (range of 2500 km), into the Eastern Mediterranean. In general, Russia does have options in Syria but we should observe the dynamics of the operation there very cautiously.  After all, it is just the beginning. 

As per media--they will continue to lie, propagate all kind of BS and try to make Russia look like an aggressor. For that I would say: the caravan passes and the dog barks. As per possible, but most likely improbable,  clash between US and Russian Air Forces? I think there are plenty of professionals on both sides on the ground (and in the air) to avoid what could be an apocalyptic event.

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