Yes, it is legitimate to call it schizophrenia, especially against the background of Iran literally mocking and trolling Israel and the US. This place is a mental asylum.
That was the beginning. Today, it is (not could be) a final exposure of the US as a military paper tiger capable only fighting weak, backward enemies. And still managing to lose. Real war is a damn serious business--last people in the US who understood that have been people the scale of Dwight Eisenhower and George Marshall, they are not with us anymore. Iran just proved it. SMO continues and the crime against humanity of killing off millions of Ukrainian troops by throwing them against the concrete wall of Russian Armed Forces is squarely on the shoulders of combined West and its incompetent and arrogant militaries and intel services.
... and this is the Israeli (lack of) "air defense" in (lack of) action.
You know all what Dimona is. No, it is not just the town. This is the main thing there:
Dimona nuclear facility. Iran sends the "message". And it is a very clear one--Iran can hit it at will and considering Israel's size ... so you all get my drift. Let's hope it doesn't get to this but this shit can get very serious really fast.
1. Jiang Xueqin strangely doesn't talk about what is being done to Israel, which is a devastation, to put it mildly and as the result ...
2. He merely re-narrates Israeli "plans" and views not pointing out that without the West Israel is but a shithole with a pathetic army capable only of punitive and genocidal actions. Good luck creating Greater Israel with that and Israeli "economy".
3. Parallels to Vietnam are wrong--Iran is not Vietnam and it has a direct geographic link to Russia, albeit North Vietnam has the common border with China. As Eric correctly pointed out about Vietnam War, Jiang Xueqin will be best advised to freshen up on his history (after all he teaches history, right?) and see for himself who has been doing the bulk of fighting and dying in Vietnam War and that wasn't the US. Correct, it was ARVN. The US did the only thing it can do well--bomb.
The only bright spot in his statements was correct pointing out that the US didn't fight the real war in decades. Right. In fact, culturally, resources-wise, operationally and socially the US cannot fight real combined arms operations of scale--it simply doesn't have military DNA for it. Nor, presently, economy is even remotely comparable (adjusted for time period) to the US massive industrial output in 1965-1975. And even then, inability to sustain the war forced Nixon to abandon gold standard. He talks about it all as if this is not happening, but it is ...
Every day and there is panic in D.C. none of them knows what to do. I want to remind AGAIN ...
Each war represents an isolated case, requiring an understanding of its own particular logic, its own unique character (c) A.A. Svechin. Strategy.
... do you remember those statements that RuAF is essentially grounded? Well, this is grounded RuAF delivering goodies. Su-34.
Su-25s are rotating non-stop, with insane operational tempo.
In related news, Lord have mercy on me, Japan continues to produce ugliest EW planes ever. Here is the newest on, EC-2, plane of the long-range EW.
If you think Japan did it the first time. Well, here is an older version of early warning thingy. Granted, Japan flew one, while the design was ... Israeli. EL/M-2075 Phalcon. As you can see yourself--it was a maimed B-707.
Having said all that, what he expresses to Tucker derives from Mr. Kent's, and let me be blunt here, lack of understanding of tactical-technical and operational situation with the "US defense" of Israel. There is NOTHING US military can do, short of using nuclear weapons (and even then), to improve on "defense" of Israel since this "defense" is nothing but a fairy tale, a myth propagated by the Pentagon. In this case, ignoring the statement about Trump being "qualified" for anything, this hypothetical "withdrawal" changes very little in already exposed and defenseless Israel. The only "withdrawal" which matters now is US financial support for Israel--good luck dealing with this issue.
In other words, even despite his high level position in Trump Administration he is absolutely not qualified to pass judgements like this:
This is by Lieutenant-General Andrei Semenov, Deputy Commander of Russian Air-Space Forces (VKS) and Commander of AD/ABM Troops of Russia. With all my due respect to combat record of Mr. Kent, there is not a single Pentagon officer in existence who would approach even vicinity of academic and combat relevant experience of people of the scale of Semenov. Not to mention the fact of Russian Air Defense being on another level compared to what the US can offer to Israel. That very short period of time before main "eyes and ears" of any US AD complex are taken out. Iran demonstrated it in the last 18 days yet again. The best what the US can offer is simply not designed for modern war. And then there is this "teeny-weeny" issue with Mr. Kent's resignation letter, see the excerpt below.
Well, well, well, so it is the United States now who, apart from treacherous murder of General Soleimani, defeated Hitler ... pardon me--ISIS. Poor-poor Russians, they have been dazzled by Trump's military "genius", granted this has happened in November 2015:
At that time Mr. Trump hasn't been the POTUS, not even close. CIA, however, was actively supporting, together with Mossad this very ISIS, while Russia already was blowing apart both from the air and, what is most important--on the ground. So, I do respect John Kent's courage in resigning, but his conclusions about Trump and views of REAL operations, as opposed to what the US military is known for--bombing and shooting brown people with TOE from the times of Sherman's March to the Sea--are not exactly up do date, putting it mildly, for all his combat merits in America's wars against people who could barely shoot back. Now, the US, after a demilitarization in SMO is facing off with people who do shoot back, while Trump is becoming a political corpse at an accelerated rate--so much for his "qualifications". I know, it hurts but I warned about the US being militarily a paper tiger long time ago. But what do I know, I never deployed to Afghanistan.
There will be, for sure, now some fanboys of laissez-faire and of the Wall Street, pointing out that whole two dozen people will get richer from it and that they will pay taxes (granted none of those profits get to the Cayman Islands, yes, sure, sure) and that will heighten everything like in height, widen in width, deepen in depth and capitalization will grow. In reality, that means a severe impact on both airlines and aerospace companies, such as Boeing. Domino effect, which is already in progress, will expand. I am talking here about REAL economy, not this Wall Street BS. This is a warmup. We ain't seen nothing yet(c).
Today analogies and memes literally make themselves. The absurdity of this all grows from the contemporary Western ruling class' "logic" or rather lack thereof due to extremely low educational and cultural levels but with enough useless "credentials" which are bordering on Gogolesque or Kafkaesque absurdity. Morons with Ph.Ds. So, are we now into "Saving Private J.D. Vance" territory? Likely yes. But the US cannot anymore vote herself out of this--one after another American myths have been blown out of the water and it remains to be seen if the US will put to good use its remaining "intrinsic wealth" (quoting Garland) or will it be the roll down the slope in gurney while being on the way to ICU.
P.S. Per General Aguto and his drunken escapades, he is the guy together with current USAREUR-AF Donahue and their group in Wiesbaden who gave us a "masterpiece", exemplary really, catastrophe of the "2023 counter-offensive"--I am sure they will teach it in the USMA at West Point and the US Army War College, right ... right? /s
Does he even understand what those costs could be?
He still lives in the la-la land of the Desert Storm, where the US operated essentially unopposed in its assembly areas, but even in Vietnam, the US Army never experienced a fire impact (maybe Khe Sanh) which would compare to daily "deliveries" Iran can provide against any troops. These will not be some artillery and mortar impacts, that will be stand-off weapons, some of them with warheads measuring in hundreds of kilograms. This is a different game, and then there are recon and targeting ... but I said it before--the US doesn't have relevant experience with this.
So, what COULD be the "costs" if the US decides to do "ground operation"? Depending on the scope (the US doesn't have required resources for large scale op, McCaffrey should know this) it will range anywhere between 10,000 + KIAs within limited scope op to hundreds of thousands KIAs if the US bogs down (which it will) in case of the "full scale" invasion of Iran in the first couple-three years. Vietnam War will look damn good compared to this.
Keep in mind that hypersonic Kinzhal has a range of 2,500 kilometers. What it means on the map.
These are forbidden waters and no navy can go in there without being sunk. Also a reminder that it is not just MiG-31K who carry Kinzhals, Su-34s can do it too now. And I am not even talking about Russian Navy's Zircon carriers.
I am sure DJT will say it is "AI" but realities for the US in the region are becoming grimmer and grimmer with each passing day. Meanwhile Israel is getting it from Hezbollah.
This is Nagaria and as you can see yourself Israeli AD is nowhere to be found. But then again, looking at Iranian strikes at Israel ...
... one has to ask questions about "asymmetric warfare" BS being spread in all kinds of shell-shocked US media by all kinds of the US generals. This is NOT asymmetric, albeit all wars have asymmetric element in them, this is blow for blow by Iran within the paradigm of missile exchange which is very "symmetric" and Iran wins it by TKO. Is it Suez Moment for the US? Oh, it is much worse than that. US long ago went through Suez Moment, SMO anyone? Namely from 2023 on, but it was hidden by spinsters and sphincters in MSM and US "military expert" community. This one with Iran is sheer public humiliation for everyone to see, with the exception of brainwashed (Un)Christian Zionists who will not even understand what they are looking at.
His statements about "AI" are a serious indicator of a complete loss of touch with the reality (not that he had it before) and of obvious mental deterioration. This is the man who makes his decisions based on fantasies. Kremlin meanwhile is quivering from fear, watching the US losing the war with Iran and with DJT's handlers from Israel having their asses handed to them by Iran on a platter. The only tool at his disposal is nuclear arsenal, I hope this will not come to this:
But then again, when your military mythology is blown out of the water, this is the last resort.
... one of the MPs in India's Parliament accuses Modi of kneeling before Israel while Khamenei became a martyr.
The timing (and essence) of Modi's visit to Israel couldn't have been worse. And that is to put it mildly.
Now to some "dawning" of the reality on those who thought they knew. Yeah, "paper" everything is a derivative enabler for speculation and manipulation.
I want to reiterate--average "trader" on any paper market is nothing but a product (at best) of some MBA program from Ivy League degree mill and knows nothing about real world and how it operates. It is a crowd ready to buy any political BS as long as it serves short term speculation and profit. I will reiterate--the US doesn't have strategic intelligence and strategic forecasting as a craft in principle. What passes for both is an academic and ideological fraud.
It is constantly in a front of our faces, when I speak and write about it--this thing is upfront, so much so that we simply do not pay attention to it, but here is why US military is reduced to what it is today and it was inevitable. Just listen to this:
These cretins put Dollar sign on everything, not understanding that firepower, operational-tactical impact, technological effect CAN NOT be measured in Dollars. Especially in the military which is grotesquely overrated and overpriced. So, how do you "measure" Dollar-wise this?
In accordance to Chinese satellite images, USS Gerald Ford is now in the Red Sea near Jeddah.
Here is how it looks on the map range-wise.
Roughly between 1,100 and 1,600 kilometers away positions from which Iran can launch something which obviously has a rather extended range and can reach the most valuable US Navy's asset--CVN. Remember this from 16 years ago?
"Could be" is a wrong term, they ARE. The warning has come true. With it came a complete bankruptcy of US military across financial, doctrinal, operational and technological terms.
In related news, "mighty" French Air Force almost ran out of air-to-air missiles))
France Defense Minister Le Corny (ahem;)) gathers the emergency meeting, while the US ... dazzles with its production.
That's about 3-4 days worthof Russia's expenditure of Kh-101, 3M14(M) Kalibrs and 3M22 Zircons with P-800 Onyx. This is for those people who still cannot wrap their brains around the scale of SMO.
Yes, the whole world saw your "targeting" and US military impotence. The phrase "military meritocracy" made me spill my coffee. Pentagon has no clue what real war is. Operationally it is almost embarrassing, strategically--amateurs.
... flowers, icons and children's toys to Iran's Embassy. Especially toys in memory of 171 innocent children ... Russians know, they had atrocity of Beslan directed by "intel services of unfriendly countries".
I will reiterate, the US does not know what REAL war is, period. All "operations" by the US are designed against third rate enemies and are nothing more than a burst of "shock and awe" against people who cannot shoot back, developing of the fifth column to overthrow the "regime" and voila'--that's the American Way of War. Pete Hegseth is a product of this "culture" and he thought that he knows. He knows shit, because he is ROTC product with degree in "politics" and has no grasp of strategy of REAL war. Not surprising with his "experience" from Afghanistan.
For people who still do not understand what is going on with the US arsenals, I want to reiterate--in comparison, in SMART munitions only Russia produces ORDER of magnitude (x 10 and even more) those munitions ranging from laser guided rounds to loitering munitions. Per bombs with UMPK--I don't know, 30 times more? And, then, of course, missiles--all kinds from stand off weapons ranging from Kh-101, 3M14(M), Kinzhals, 3M22 Zircons, P-800 Oniks and, of course, air defense missiles--the US does not even register here. It is simply insignificant. So, make your own conclusions. Now, to those who compare Iran and Russia--two different intensities of a conflict, two different weight categories. So, I remind you now sacramental from A.A. Svechin, Valery Gerasimov quotes him:
Memorize and internalize it, this may help in orienting oneself in the complexities of the warfare and geopolitics.
On Neutrality Studies. I concur--Israel is defenseless, so are US assets in the region with only a SINGLE operational tool at the US disposal, traditional at that, bombing. That's it.
Is there a panic in the White House and Pentagon? You can bet your ass on that. This is the FIRST time when the US met with the opposition which wipes out US operational rear assets and is ready to go into the blow exchange, tit for tat. Not since Vietnam, the US actually finds itself facing the REAL opposition and REAL war. Unlike it is the case in 404 where the US military hides behind the backs of 404 cannon fodder.
Everybody who is not brainwashed can subscribe to this:
Yes, you cannot unsee it. I warned about it 9 years ago.
The US "military supremacy" was a meticulously constructed media fairy tale, which crumbled like a house of cards in 2023 and now we can see it being finished off in the Middle East when the "coming out" happened.
If only he knew the significance. Because I am busy today, I want to give you a worthy "substitution" with excellent text by Alexander Rogers who in his classic acerbic manner explains basics of the grand strategy and the nature of demilitarization.
This time it is the land which is five times larger in territory than Vietnam, it has almost three times population of what Vietnam had at that time, even when one considers almost 3 million Vietnamese civilians dead. And as Vietnamese, Iranians are an ancient civilization, in fact much more ancient, and they have geographic anchor to fight back as long as necessary, and they can and do hit US operational rear, big time. I want to repeat again--the US military never fought in defense of the US proper, in defense of their families, property, culture. Iranian have this experience, US does not and that makes all the difference in the world. Iran will never forgive the murder of 171 innocent children. They are martyrs now.
Project 885 SSGN Kazan training supersonic missile launches. Milporn.
Latest versions of P-800 Onyx have the range of 1,000 + km and speeds up to M=3. Looks like a new trend in Russian Navy--COs of nuclear subs shave their heads completely.
... on Trump's "victory". Well, what can I say--it is unprecedented what the US is going through in the last 10 years. Many people still cannot grasp the scale of American national tragedy. It is more than just epic fail. And I can totally feel for TRUE American patriots, myself being one of them, seeing once great country being sold to Israel.
... needs to update his "navy experience" as applied to 2026 and choke points operations ... choking them. Houthis have demonstrated how little it takes to shut down a strait, but those are Houthis. Iran is a completely different weight category--much, much heavier. So ...
So, his 29 months tenure as a radarman, mostly in the dry dock, and his lawyer degree are not sufficient for handling the situation around Persian Gulf and Strait of Hormuz, especially since Iran now states that it will use this shaitan-weapon derived from Russia's Shkval rocket-torpedo and that complicates even more already dire situation in the Gulf and around, while Salalah burns.
In conclusion "the best air defense" at work. /s Tel-Aviv.
Israel may not survive as we know it, after all. Now, THE question--anybody saw BiBi recently? Just asking. I do not imply anything, I am just interested.
What kind of a sublime idiot buys this shit? The fact that this school could have been in any targeting list (yes, those do exist) is incomprehensible. Could it be that the mindset which prevailed in 404 where US made and manned weapons such as Patriot PAC3s and HIMARS with ATACMS have been hidden inside civilian areas also influenced those officers who projected what they would do onto others? Absolutely. For people who gave us Bucha and other false flags, atrocities against Russian civilians, killing women and children in Sevastopol on the beach--that's the "American Way of War".
... from 404 which some people continue to post on these discussion boards. Here is the reality--two missiles, one into the apartment block (NATO is really good at terrorism) another altogether elsewhere.
I am getting tired debunking a copious amount of BS which appears on the discussion boards as some kind of "insights". US military and intel will be "avenging" their ass handed to them by Iran by the only way they know how--targeting Russian civilians. Reality on the ground for the US in SMO and Iran is catastrophic. So far, I saw not a single general-admiral officer resigning in disgust. Tells you something. I repeat--INFO HYGIENE. Practice it.
... impressed. Correct, he never saw anything like this, neither did any serious military professional in the world who has any grasp of operational planning and military technology.
Yes, and Donnie called Putin to precisely gauge Putin's level of awe from this catastrophe. But no worries, Donnie can lie non-stop. I am sure Putin never saw anything like this, neither did I or very many other people, for this matter.
As you can see yourself, she is a classic case of being dumb as a stump despite her "impressive credentials", and if you take a look at this "fellow's" educational background you will understand why US "strategists" are a pathetic bunch abusing sinecures in all kinds of pseudo-academic think-tanks.
She wouldn't understand a first thing about REAL strategy, warfare, governance and technology as wouldn't most of people from Aspen Group, RAND, ISW and other grant-consuming fraudulent establishments in the vast sea of the American think-tankdom machine of intellectual corruption and propaganda. But her butthurt and sore-loserism is shining through.
Is this TACO? Yep, a desperate attempt to save own political life while already being a political corpse. He should have called Israel, his masters. But, ah yes, recall those sweet days of hope))