Larry Considers Scenarios.

He posits this idea. 

Here is the problem and the danger — if Alastair is right, Iran stands a good chance of defeating an Israeli attack. While Iran has vowed to retaliate against Israel for its October attack on Iran, Tehran has deferred carrying out new strikes, most likely following counsel from Russia to exercise restraint and build support in the global south. Unfortunately, the West has interpreted Iranian patience with weakness and fear. I believe the most dangerous scenario is as follows — Iran defeats and Israeli attack and then moves immediately to launch a massive missile counterstrike on Israeli targets. If Iran inflicts major destruction on Israel, then there will be enormous pressure on the Biden Administration to come to their rescue and carrying out new attacks on Iran. Given the new military relationship between Iran and Russia, this could escalate rapidly into something more than an isolated regional war. Failed generals, like Jack Keane, dismiss this scenario as nonsense. Keane bases his conclusion on his belief that Russia has been significantly weakened by events in Syria and its failure to achieve victory in Ukraine while suffering catastrophic losses in personnel. I know this is ridiculous, but it does not matter what I think. The key policymakers in Washington, including the intelligence community, accept this fantasy as reality.

Yes, Jack Keane is a joke as a general and his assessments, especially on Russia are that of an amateur--but you cannot fix it. US military throughout post WW II history produced scores of military "geniuses" (a euphemism for losers) ranging from Westmoreland to Petraeus or the said Keane who will be looked at by Russians as a novelty or a nutjob who came to "negotiate" with Russians having no knowledge of warfare, Russia and especially her military. Read the whole thing at Larry's blog.