Meanwhile, all kinds of military "analysts" in the West continue to live in the alternative universe--a natural state of the affairs for people who play computer games, masturbate to techno-gizmos and drink Kool Aid from 404 and other losers from NATO, who invent BS for therapeutic reasons, to ease somewhat a massive butthurt they experience by "observing" SMO.
So, the imbecile, who wrote this shit at least uses a modal verb "might", that is to say implies possibility which is, of course, not there with Russian Air Force operating freely, not to mention the fact that SU-35s are hungry for more kills (to upgrade their already unrivaled combat score) and they operate beyond the range of whatever remains in terms of AD systems in 404. Moreover, both air-to-air and air-to-ground weapons which SU-35s carry simply do not exist in NATO and EVERY NATO pilot can only dream about combat experience and combat score of SU-35 pilots.
But no worries, "interpreting" the ramping up of production of SU-35s and "delivery" of new SU-35s as a sign of"losses", of which there are none, with Russian Armed Forces performing SEAD which makes all those efforts in Iraq look like a child's play is called coping, hard, torturous coping. It is also the reason for the US not winning its wars. This manifests itself across the board--from fanboys to many in the US military, especially low ranks, and, of course, American political class which is paralyzed like a deer in the headlights of oncoming car (or locomotive, depends on POV) before being hit. So, boys and girls, now know that ramping up production of any high-end military technology is to "resupply losses", not to prepare for possible war with European NATO which totally corresponds now with grand and military strategic aims of Russia. In the same time, it has to be understood that NATO forces are air defense-challenged and are utterly incapable of dealing with modern stand-off weapons of any kind and are not designed for serious war. All of them. That is what seems to be bothering the author of this drivel.
Here is an example of John Mearsheimer talking to Col. Daniel Davis today and starting immediately with the right conclusion based on a completely false premise. See for yourself--this is the start of the discussion.
He is absolutely correct stating that Trump will not get ceasefire, but it is not because "Russians are on the roll". Here we have, AGAIN, a complete confusion re: Russia's intentions and how General Staff works. For starters, Russians were on the roll the moment in 2023 it became clear that not only much touted "counteroffensive" has been defeated (with up to 200 000 casualties for VSU and their NATO curators), but because of HOW it was defeated--VSU forces have been demolished in the forefield (a "security zone" per the US Army's Field Manuals). Let's rewind back to January 6, 2023, Orthodox Christmas time. Here is Dmitry Medvedev verbatim:
I think it is clear that in 2023, and that was even before catastrophic "counteroffensive", that Russians have anticipated this suicidal move on part of Washington, and it was after this disaster for Washington and Kiev that General Staff issued forecast, extremely precise, that VSU lost any ability to conduct strategic offensive operations (in Russian). They still could do suicidal PR actions such as invasion of Kursk Oblast, where they lost a whole combined arms army, but for some reason most American "realists" and "experts" never studied Eastern Front in WW II properly (hard to do so in the West) and missed completely Russian Army setting into the strategic defense in the end of the 2022 which was the worst possible news for NATO planners who, due to them being mostly educated on Hollywood movies such as Patton, did not recognize that Russians haven't been into this business to capture territory--they are in this business for physical annihilation of the enemy, while preserving own forces.
And it was after the strategic catastrophe of VSU in 2023 that it became absolutely clear that there will be not any "ceasefires" nor any "negotiations". Moreover, it is difficult to explain to people who grew up on American post-Vietnam military mythology (such as John Mearsheimer) that American war metrics simply do not apply to SMO, especially when for many in the US it becomes a complete revelation that Russian Army never lost operational initiative. So, the argument, that Russians are on a roll is merely an outdated geographic metric which obscures real reasons for no ceasefire. Here are the numbers again--they are beyond the grasp of any graduate of the US Army Command and General Staff College:
Translation:Moscow.February 20. INTERFAX.RU - The losses of the Ukrainian Armed Forces during the counteroffensive in 2023 amounted to over 166 thousand servicemen, more than 800 tanks, almost 2.4 thousand combat armored vehicles, said Russian Defense Minister Sergei Shoigu."Having deployed such huge forces, the enemy did not even manage to reach the first line of defense. The first line of defense, and there are two more of them. Having lost 166 thousand killed and wounded, (...) more than 800 tanks, almost 2,400 combat armored vehicles," Shoigu said in an interview with Russian journalists.Shoigu also said that Russian troops destroyed more than half of the Leopard tanks supplied to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
That's the main reason and that is what being on the roll is. Some time, I think, they have issues with basic math.
Highlighted in yellow (in fact the whole column) is the main reason why there will be no ceasefire. This is also why I question basic military professional skills of Kellogg, who believed Kiev's propaganda BS about losses. They know very little about real war and they are terrified of a moment when they will have to face a reality--reality of who they are, not to mention always huge issues with causality.
