Some Numbers ...

 ... which are hidden.

This is a "spread" of casualties which one would expect--give and take, I am not suggesting that pastor's numbers are precise--in case of Brigade Combat Team trying to engage into any significant ground combat in Iran within two to four weeks. In other words, it will melt away. The reason is simple--US Army is not equipped (nor is a partner in Dutch Rudder propaganda of Israel's IDF) to deal with actual long-range fires and stand-off weapons due to a prevented view on warfare in general and air-defense in particular. 

This is a result of worshiping fake history and fake leaders. I will remind you, if you forgot: 

The creeping arrogance, the hubris, which would cost the American Army so dearly in Vietnam. Summing up the achievements of his troops in crushing the German counterattack of December 1944, Patton with pardonable pride claims to have “moved farther and faster and engaged more divisions in less time than any other army in the history of the United States—possibly in the history of the world... No country can stand against such an Army.” These memoirs are valuable not least in showing, however unwittingly, that a disastrous presumption of invincibility took root in the ranks of officers who led the American military after World War II.

This is from foreword to Patton's memoir. US Military doesn't learn--that's not me saying it, that's late hater of Russia and falsifier of history Richard Pipes describing what takes place:  

The United States wants to win its wars quickly and with the smallest losses in American lives… Extreme reliance on a technological superiority, characteristic of U.S. warfare, is the obverse side of America’s extreme sensitivity to its own casualties; so is indifference to the casualties inflicted on the enemy ... We have no general staff; we grant no higher degrees in “military science”; and, except for Admiral Mahan, we have produced no strategist of international repute. America has tended to rely on its insularity to protect it from aggressors, and on its unique industrial capacity to help crush its enemies once war was under way. The United States is accustomed to waging wars of its own choosing and on its own terms. It lacks an ingrained strategic tradition. In the words of one historian, Americans tend to view both military strategy and the armed forces as something to be “employed intermittently to destroy occasional and intermittent threats posed by hostile powers. 

Well, yeah. US Navy has (or had recently) an Admiral who graduated with the major in ... English Literature. But then again, Lisa Franchetti, University of Phoenix and shit. So, what happens when your opponent not only fights back tenaciously but outranges you? They call it "asymmetry"--that's the level of military "science" in the US. Nothing good. Well, with the US Secretary of War having his military education lifted from Scofield Bible and Fox News what do you expect? And don't tell me I didn't warn. I did. Now, who will answer not only for the atrocity against people of Iran but for lives of those American kids who died needlessly for a terrorist entity in Levant? 

A Profound, Mighty, Unrestrained ... LOL!

 Gotta love this. 

This is so typical of Gulfies. Yes, we all saw how good you are "defending" yourself. Exactly, "with distinction", because you are ... defenseless, as is the US. But, yes, in a typical Gulfies' manner a humiliating defeat must be wrapped into hyperbole and self-praise. UAE, however, does have experience with good air defense, it even helped to finance it in 1990. I am talking about this:

Yes, first versions of S1 Pantsir bought in 2000. They have been upgraded relatively recently but the nature of this upgrade remains uncertain and they are not Pantsirs operated by Russian Air Defense. There have been certainly successful intercepts of Iranian drones and missiles by Pantsirs, but what passes for "layered air defense" in US AD parlance is not layered and not real defense as a sad fate of PAC3s and THAAD demonstrated, with them being incapable to provide REAL AD with at least moderately acceptable intercept rate. It is not acceptable, of course--it is dismal. 

Meanwhile, Yaroslavl Air Defense Academy.

404 and its NATO terrorists tried to strike this academy 100 times (it is described in video)--all 100 targets have been shot down. NATO air defense is not in the same league and it doesn't have own dedicated military academies in the field where for 5 years, 6 days a week you prepare full blown high end engineers with massive STEM background and tacticians with the step into operational planning. UAE knows that and they know that THAAD, let alone PAC3, ain't no S-400. But the best way out of it for them is to do what Iran demanded--remove US presence. Looks like the message was received. Details of future contracts will be discussed later. 

Lavrov About "Red Lines" ...

 ... to those who still exercise any illusions. 

Something Of Note.

Tactical stuff and shit. But it is really interesting. Self-patching anti-drone net. 

Previous generation of nets when had UAVs explode on them would be breached and the hole could be used later by other enemy drones. This net however patches those holes (50+% of their areas) on its own due to the mechanical properties of a material and a weave (like letter Z) which is capable to do this. This is really noteworthy, especially since it is being mass-produced. That reduces dramatically the effectiveness of drones. 

Meanwhile, for some reason the promised (by fanboys primarily) demise of tanks and field artillery (you know, drones will do all the work, LOL) hasn't happened yet. I wonder why? Well, I am being facetious, of course. Here are the the guys from T-80BVMs who love their machines in combat. 

Meanwhile the little robot that could. 

Kuriers (Couriers) not only are mass-produced and haul everything, from wounded to the rear to ammo and food to the line of combat, here is this little thingy shows how to properly tow a legendary Soviet/Russian 122-mm D-30. They have become true helpers in combat and beyond. 

25th, Now!

 We have on our hands a complete nutjob. 

President Trump said in a phone interview that Iran has "agreed to everything," and will work with the U.S. to remove its enriched uranium. He insisted that doing so will not involve U.S. ground troops. But when asked who would retrieve it, he would only say "our people." "No. No troops," he said. "We'll go down and get it with them, and then we'll take it. We'll be getting it together because by that time, we'll have an agreement and there's no need for fighting when there's an agreement. Nice right? That's better. We would have done it the other way if we had to." The president said the material would then be brought to the U.S.

His mental decline is precipitous, spurred by an immense pressure from both external factors, Israel, Epstein et al, and traits of character he cannot control anymore. He cannot grasp anymore anything which contradicts his obviously grotesquely primitive if not vulgar view of the United States and its actual capabilities. He knows only one thing--New York real estate market dealings. 

Meanwhile: 

The Strait of Hormuz is once again at the center of escalating geopolitical tensions, with Iran moving to restrict vessel traffic amid an ongoing U.S. naval blockade. According to multiple reports, Iran has turned back at least 20 vessels attempting to transit the strait, while U.S. enforcement actions have redirected additional ships, bringing total disruptions to more than 20 tankers. Merchant vessels reportedly received direct radio warnings from Iranian naval forces declaring the waterway closed to all traffic following what Tehran described as a failure by Washington to uphold ceasefire commitments. The developments mark a sharp reversal from earlier optimism. Just days ago, Iran had signaled that navigation through Hormuz was “completely open” following a temporary ceasefire agreement tied to de-escalation in Lebanon. That arrangement now appears to be unraveling, with both sides maintaining overlapping restrictions—effectively choking off maritime access.

Somebody has to explain to him that the US lost, in the most humiliating fashion and the US owner, Israel, is not only beaten into the bloody pulp, but IDF, as was predicted, paraded itself as a third rate force incapable of modern war, period (use Google to translate). Sheer military incompetence. In the end, who will answer for guys on the US aircraft carriers and LHDs going effectively hungry? Just asking ...

Some Clarifications Re: Mi-28NE ...

... and shoot and forget weapon systems. Here is a demonstration  of an extremely low signal-to-noise ratio in Western media sphere when it comes to Russian technology. For some reason this video popped up for me today. I don't know why, because I am more interested in music and old sci-fi flicks from 1950s and 60s. But here it is. 

I was stunned with "technical" minutiae of this narration with a pathetic attempt to compare non-existent features of US helicopters, such as ... and you guessed it--"stealth" (if AH-64 Apache is "stealth" then I am Mickey Mouse) and combat record which is simply incomparable. But then, of course, they also say that the cockpit is ... analogue. And the cherry on the top is that US helicopters use "shoot-and-forget" weapons while Russians use Ataka ... only? 

Well, let's take a look at Mi-28NE cockpit, OK?

If multi-function LCDs are analogue, then ... yeah--I am Mickey Mouse. What many still do not understand is that some analogue instruments such as artificial horizon, RPMs and fuel gauge are DOUBLE-redundancy for the machine which can take the punishment which would pulverize any US helicopter. But then there is another pile of bovine excrement. Here are some photos of Mi-28s shooting not Ataka but "shoot-and-forget" Izdelie-305 LMUR in combat.

 Here is how this nasty missile looks like when carried by Mi-28s. 

And for those who haven't heard about this ground-attack missile, well--here it is. No, not from WiKi where the range of this missile is posted as ... 14 kilometers. Nope, actually depending on the profile it is 25 kilometers. 

But even here they continue to use wrong data--it is not 14, it is 25 kilometer range. But why they continue to use this "data", the explanation is simple--main AH-64 Apache's weapon AGM-114 Hellfire has a range of around 11-12 kilometers, the Maverick has a range of up to 22 kilometers. The newest AIM-179 JAGM has a range of 8 kilometers or so. This cannot stand, of course, because as we all know, the US procures bestest of the bestests. And do not even mention a family of Russian guided missiles Hermes with ranges, depending on guidance, up to ... 100 kilometers. But yes, Russians are still using monkey wrenches, hammers and steam to power their equipment. Butthurt and coping are strong ... 

But here is a bit of actual combat use (it is tested now) of a swarm of Supercam loitering munitions capable of operating in groups of up to 10, searching, detecting, classifying and attacking a variety of targets completely on their own. 

If operator needs to interfere--satellite comms are at their disposal, or any other comm network if needed, including those pesky retranslators. Here is how Russian control rooms look like:

And I love art deco. I really do). 

System Breakdown.

 Larry had excellent discussion.