Wednesday, October 18, 2023

I Have To Admit...

China's First Lady is one classy and beautiful woman. Glamorous too. I doubt that she is more powerful than Xi, as dumb-asses from Forbes claim, but she sure as hell makes China proud. 

For better or worse, this is when one begins to remember Melania as the First Lady. She was a class act, unlike her husband. I doubt that Putin has any plans to remarry, albeit, hey...
 
If true, he has a very good taste in women. As Stalin once responded when asked what should we (the Party) do with extramarital affair between legendary Marshall Rokossovsky and famous movie star Serova. What should we do? What should we do? Repeatedly asked himself Stalin. Then said: we should begin to envy Comrade Rokossovsky. Even today in her maturity Alina is beautiful, when she was slightly younger--she dazzled with her beauty. I don't know what's the deal with those Tatar girls like Alina Kabaeva (gymnastics), Alina Zagitova (figure skating) or incomparable Kamila Valieva (figure skating)--it is like the nature decided to create the most beautiful woman and went to Tatarstan.

The Crater Issue.

As Larch pointed out--there is NO crater in the yard of the bombed hospital. Larry also raises the issue:

I also do not care who calls me what but I never recanted on my point that what Hamas did initially was primarily terrorism because so many innocent Israeli and international civilians have been involved. So, I continue to hold the opinion of--we must wait and see, until truth begins to emerge. I completely agree with Larry, though, that it doesn't matter at this stage for "Arab street" and the fact remains that Israel DOES kill many innocent civilians. But truth to be told, I still didn't see hundreds of bodies after the initial claim.

Pepe's Excellent Take...

 ... on Russia-Israel connection. 

Is it possible that the philo-Semitic Russian President Vladimir Putin is slowly but surely re-evaluating his geopolitical assessment of Israel? To call this the key riddle in Moscow's corridors of power is actually an understatement. There are no outward signs of such a seismic shift – at least when it comes to the officially “neutral” Russian position on the intractable Israel-Palestine drama. Except for one stunning statement last Friday at the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) Summit in Bishkek, when Putin blasted Israel’s “cruel methods” employed to blockade Gaza, and compared it with “the siege of Leningrad during World War Two.” “That’s unacceptable,” declared the Russian president, and warned that when all of Gaza’s 2.2 million civilians “have to suffer, including women and children, it’s hard for anyone to agree with this."   Putin’s comments may have been one hint at the changes underway in the frustratingly opaque Russia-Israel relationship. A close second is this very important article published last Friday on Vzglyad, a security strategy website close to the Kremlin, diplomatically titled “Why Russia remains neutral in the conflict in the Middle East.”  

A very good piece. Highly recommend.

There Is A Difference...

 ... between sociopath and psychopath and it is substantial--psychopaths do not go hysterical, sociopaths do. Observe it in real time.  


 

Something To Be Said About Kinzhal.

Namely what this means for a number of Russian and Western military "analysts" and dispels the last myth (BS) about Kinzhal. 

I'll explain now why this is important. No, not the fact that Kinzhal carriers are patrolling now over the Black Sea, where they also have a very good cover by SU-30SMs and SU-35 of both VKS and Black Sea Fleet aviation. The fact that Kinzhals are deployed to counter US Navy's Carrier Battle Groups in Eastern Med finally puts a huge fat point to the so called "discussion" by fanboys about Kinzhal's capabilities as merely hypersonic weapon system dependent strictly at precise targeting and ONLY against static, that is not moving, targets. 

I was on record from the get go, that Kinzhal, while having obvious similarities with Iskander, is a completely different system not only in terms of delivery--aeroballistic vs. purely land-launched ballistic, but because of its warhead which is designed to operate autonomously in terms of fine scan and search (dorazvedka) and guide itself to any kind of target, moving or not. Iskander has only remedial such (say anti-shipping) capability and even then with constant external targeting updates against moving targets. Kinzhal with its M=9+ is a fully shoot-and-forget weapon which needs only rough targeting. In other words, it doesn't need precise, measured in meters targeting, it merely needs a circle, which, of course has a radius of Speed of the target multiplied by Tau, which is the time of aggregation of obsolescence of the initial targeting. 

What it means, that, even if from the initial detection and initial targeting of the ship or aircraft carrier 30 minutes have passed, the uncertainty for the ship (target) will have the size, say if it moves with the speed of 30 knots: 30 times 0.5 = 15 nautical miles. That means we have a circle of the radius of 28 kilometers in which the ship is located. Even if we discount command updates to Kinzhal, that means that it will have the range to detect and guide itself to hit target. And this is, literally, the most primitive scenario. I do not go here into the realities of different types of recon and their sensor and data fusion which allows for extremely reliable detection and targeting, nor do I know highly classified structure and capabilities of Kinzhal's optronic and radar means of detection, but what is absolutely clear--they are more than adequate for any type of attack against any target on the surface and this attack cannot be stopped. And that wraps all "discussions" by fanboys about Kinzhal's anti-shipping capabilities. That what is so important about this deployment.

Tuesday, October 17, 2023

Open Thread--Gaza.

Go at it.

For Your Attention.

Once Volodya starts to talk about asses and air defense... OK, just have fun;) Sadly, there are some issues to discuss beyond this, otherwise, useful discussion. 

Enjoy, if you will.