Sunday, October 29, 2017

Arkhipov.

Two days ago The Guardian posted the article about a very dear and respected by me man. At my time in 1980s, a superintendent of my naval academy, Vasili Alexandrovich Arkhipov. When I started my naval military exploits in 1980 he was a rear-admiral, later, in 1981 he was promoted to the vice-admiral and, of course, we all knew his story. I had an honor to know, as many our naval cadets and officers, him personally and serve aKVVMKU--my years. nd study under his outstanding command. 

Soviet submarine officer who averted nuclear war honored with prize

“The Future of Life award is a prize awarded for a heroic act that has greatly benefited humankind, done despite personal risk and without being rewarded at the time,” said Max Tegmark, professor of physics at MIT and leader of the Future of Life Institute. “The lesson from this is that a guy called Vasili Arkhipov saved the world,’’ Thomas Blanton, director of the National Security Archive at George Washington University, told the Boston Globe in 2002, following a conference in which the details of the situation were explored.

It couldn't have been awarded, however posthumously, to a better man than Admiral Arkhipov. Some photos of Vasili Alexandrovich.




Arkhipov and Admiral Kosov, Chief of Naval Aacdemies of USSR--both graduates of our academy.  
Entrance to Systema as Academy was called. 




Admiral's Grave


Vasili Alexandrovich is also in this video.  

Friday, October 27, 2017

Are We There Yet?


Drive...

One of the most beautiful pieces of music of 1980s.... Yes, this is Friday.





Why Michael Peck Is Not A Military Historian.

He surely portrays himself, and I quote from his biography, as:
I'm a defense writer, avid gamer and history buff. I'm currently a contributing editor for Foreign Policy Magazine, a writer for the War is Boring defense blog and of course a contributor at Forbes. My work has also appeared in the Washingon Post,Slate, Defense News, USA Today, the Philadelphia Inquirer and other fine publications. I'm a contrarian, an iconoclast, and I know that not everyone will agree with me. That means I must be doing something right. 
He holds some degree, in what else--Political Science--and that is about the extent to which his actual competencies stretch.  Obviously, if being a "contrarian" and "history buff" are qualities required for speaking out on some serious military issues, then, as I pointed out not for once in this blog--there should be no surprise with US "achievements" in geopolitical and military spheres. This is not to mention that someone who thinks WaPo or Slate to be "fine publications" has to really create an immediate alertness to a possible BS. And BS Mr. Peck produced aplenty in his, yet another, ignorant piece titled:

Why the Battle of Kursk Might Just Be the Most Misunderstood World War II Battle

And here is the issue immediately--there is nothing misunderstood about that Battle. It was studied in so much detail by now that no amount of Peck's BS can obfuscate the fact of him lacking even remote knowledge of the basic facts. Of course, he covers his BS with this:

Pointing this out takes nothing away from the bravery and skill of the Red Army, any more that it disparages the Western Allies to point out that the Soviets fought and destroyed the bulk of the German army. But today, as America and Russia confront one another, it is worth remembering there was a time when both nations cooperated to save the world from a new Dark Ages.

It is a load of patronizing BS not because it takes anything away from the Red Army, which Peck does exactly(I'll show it below)  but because, most likely, he knows it. If he doesn't--then he should stick to writing for Papua-New Guinea's (nothing personal per se against this fine country) publications. Here is a first "bomb":

On July 10, Anglo-American troops landed on the beaches of Sicily. Two days later Hitler informed his generals that he was canceling the offensive and transferring the SS Panzer divisions to Italy, to repel any Allied landings on the Italian peninsula.

Obviously it is a complete crap since WW II has NO recorded facts of transfer of SS or Wehrmacht combat units from the Eastern Front to the Western one, the other direction? All the time. But here is what really happened:

Western historiography would continue to quote in unison Mainstein's assertion that allied Operation Husky, as Sicily landing was known, would force Hitler to shift some of his crack divisions from Kursk area to Italy. What was omitted, of course, was the fact that the only division which actually made it to Italy, completely without its heavy equipment which was transferred to Das Reich and Totenkopf SS Panzer Divisions, was Leibstandarte SS Adolf Hitler Division. Both Das Reich and Totenkopf were never transferred to Italy and were redeployed to the so called Mius-Front, which was a heavily fortified German defensive line along the river Mius in Southern Russia. There they would face another Red Army offensive. Moreover, Leibstandarte SS Adolf Hitler Division was deployed to and then remained stationed in Northern Italy mostly for garrison and punitive functions, which could hardly be called combat tasks. This Division would find its end on the Eastern Front, with some remnants of once crack unit surrendering to the US Army in the West.

Damn facts!! Oh am I being a "contrarian" or an "iconoclast"? The offensive was stopped because a Husky? Dir Mr. Contrarian even take a look at what Mius-front was, or what was transpiring there and why those 2 crack SS Divisions were sent namely there? Then, of course, our "iconoclast" comes up with another trivia.

Military theory holds that the attacker should outnumber the defender three-to-one, and that fighting through dense fortifications will render an attack ever more costly

Well, military "theory" holds that one calculates a required force and "designs" its structure often with the use of serious staffs and long and tedious calculations and "modelling" which was done even in WW II times and in reality was about same ol', same ol' ability to mass (concentrate) its forces on a key axes. Obviously Mr. Peck never learned that at proverbial Schwerpunkts the ratio of forces could reach sometimes 20 to 1 but here we are getting ahead ourselves and getting into serious operational issues which even for WW II could be fitted into C3ISR. But the real wowser from Peck comes here:

7. Kursk was an Anglo-American victory as well as a Soviet one:
Just as the SS Panzers were about to achieve a decisive breakthrough -- or so Von Manstein claimed -- an Anglo-American amphibious force landed on Sicily. Hitler called off Operation Citadel and transferred the SS Panzer divisions to Italy. The timing was coincidental. The Anglo-Americans didn't land on Sicily to support the Soviets at Kursk, nor could they have mounted a large amphibious invasion on such short notice. But the practical effect was to draw German troops from the Eastern Front at a critical time.

You see, friends, what was a real contribution of the US 7th Army of 66,000 men lead by Patton or Montgomery's 115,000 men facing about 60,000 German troops in Sicily, most of them later successfully evacuated, to a titanic struggle on the Eastern Front is difficult to comprehend. Of course, those crack SS divisions factually never fought Allies in Italy, but that, as you can see, doesn't bother Mr. Peck in the least. In this case, I agree with Peck's assertion--Battle of Kursk is the most misunderstood battle by Michael Peck. In fact, I have reasons to suspect that he knows shit about it, as well as about Eastern Front, as well as about WW II in general.  Highlighted in yellow is a completely contrived, counter-factual BS. I guess that is what one gets when one becomes a military history "buff", or maybe it is a buffoon? 

The State Of The World in 30 Seconds.

Putin nails it in two phrases at Valdai. 

1. Our main mistake was in trusting West too much;
2. West's mistake (???) was in viewing Russia's trust as a weakness. 

The pp.1 is long ago not an issue--overwhelming majority of Russians doesn't trust the West. The West in general is viewed as not treaty-worthy party, which it is not, indeed. Any agreement with the West today is not worth the paper it is written on.  P.p.2, however, is more important since is one of the pillars on which this West's treaty untrustworthiness rests upon. There are still many people in European and, especially so American, elites who think that Russia still resides in 1990s, when the West loved to wipe its feet on her. This is not the case anymore and it is not the case since long ago. This whole blog from the inception is dedicated to this fact. The West has committed a gigantic mistake, but nowhere this mistake is more pronounced than it is in the US. By alienating Russia, the United States lost the ONLY potential geopolitical ally which could ensure the US' remaining relevant in new global configuration and, yes, in balancing out China. Now it is too late, even with Putin still, as usual, offering an equal dialogue with the West. Russian-Chinese economic, hence military-technological and, possibly, military-political alliance is now gaining a steam. This trade will reach $80 billion by the end of this year. But these are long term infrastructural projects which make it remarkable, from the Power of Siberia pipe-line to Russian-Chinese long range wide-body CR-929--all that has massive strategic ramifications and the Europeans are beginning to feel the itch from the outside. Inside European problems can not any longer be described as an itch, they are a major pain. Yet, the most important thing to be taken away from Valdai's revelations are that even Igor Shuvalov, a long perceived liberal pro-western lawyer-turn-economist strategist suddenly started talking about economic planning and massive national projects. Even Alexander Prokhanov was pleasantly startled by that--Russia's Economic Ministry, after moving into one of Moscow-City's skyscrapers will have a Planning Department. A sign of further departure from mindless and inhumane libertarian experiments. There is something huge afoot in Eurasia and it is being felt all over the world. Today it is impossible to deny anymore. Recall my almost three year old conclusion:

I observed for decades now a consistent pattern of the wrong assessments, loony strategies and deliberate misrepresentation (lies?) of facts coming from the top of US establishment, which since 1991 lives in the make-believe world built by the triumphalists. It is difficult to explain to the average Joe that Baseball World Series, or Superbowl "World Champions" have no relation to the World and are purely internal American affairs. That there is a huge wide world outside  and that it lives and moves not in accordance to the American narrative. Explaining to American "elite" the fact that US didn't "win" the WW II, that "winning" the Cold War came about because Soviet people simply decided to end it, that Wall Street "economy" has no relation to real economy and that real wars produce misery and destruction on a scale which is incomprehensible for the "populace" of the Washington D.C. "strategists", it is not just difficult--it is next to impossible. So, the events must run the course. But it is already clear that by failing to achieve any sensible political objectives in Ukraine and in Russia, and, by this, starting a massive global re-alignment, the United States sustained a defeat. What will be the consequences of this defeat? I hate to speculate, I just know that they are already big and that the moment of facing the reality is coming. My suggestion to those who are still making decisions--open and start reading  War And Peace by Leo Tolstoy. I don't hold my breath, though. The moment US handlers of their Kiev puppets conceived that Ukrainian Army can "win" in Donbass, the stopwatch started.  

I think the moment of facing reality has arrived. Have a nice Friday. 

Saturday, October 21, 2017

Not A Friday, But Still...

One of my favorite bands of all time. Marillion from their stunning album Misplaced Childhood

 

This Is Important.

Robert Bork, should he be alive today, would feel himself vindicated. Defending White Christian European Civilization openly? I can see Hollywood screeching and US Congress doing a seppuku... ah, wait....it usually takes honor to splash your entrails.