Friday, March 23, 2018

It Is Friday.

The sound which fades...ethereal. 


On Bolton And Others...

As you may have heard already, Donald Trump got himself new National Security Adviser in form of John Bolton. John Bolton is an odious figure and, among many fine qualities defining this guy is his draft-dodging, cowardice and a complete detachment from any military-political realities of the world, he is a lawyer by trade and sometimes goes under the title of diplomat, which he is not. In fact, diplomacy as such--a craft of building and maintaining international relations to the benefit of own nation--does not exist anymore in the US. Bolton is not an exception, if someone thinks that Trump went completely mad by appointing this psychopath--they are wrong. Bolton, in fact, is a concentrated embodiment of modern US "elites" or "establishment". The problem is not just Bolton, however insanely aggressive (the obverse side of cowardice and a collection of inferiority complexes) he is at the expense of others--the problem is institutional and cultural--it is increasingly obvious degeneracy of US ruling class.

America can not and does not produce anymore real statesmen. And most American establishment are people of similar nature as Bolton. I did a short review of the situation with US "elites" about 2.5 years ago. So, now this guy has Trump's ear. What possible "advice" will this "adviser" give Trump. Let's list some of them:

1. War on Iran;
2. War on Syria;
3. War on North Korea;
4. Possibly war on Russia (China?).

I am not being  facetious, I just listed points of Bolton's agenda which he was promoting for years and never made a secret of it. Once Mattis and Kelly, last two people in Trump Administration who have at least some grasp of real warfare, are removed from Administration, the preparation with the war on Iran will start. 

What kind of war, one may ask? Well, if it is going to be land invasion of Iran, that will be the end of the United States as a country. Not because Iran can attack the US, but because even if the US Armed Forces overcome, with relatively few casualties, Iranian Army, which is better than Arab militaries but still is not a first class fighting force, what would follow--that is going to be a wowser. Unlike anything US encountered before in the Middle East, occupying such country as Iran, where overwhelming majority of Iranian 80+ million strong population will be thirsting for American blood and will have many means to draw it, is simply beyond American resources. To start with, Iran's area is five times larger than, say, Vietnam's. Unlike Iraq, Iran's terrain is extremely complex and mountainous. In general, the number of casualties US military will face will be on the order of magnitude larger than in Iraq and Afghanistan combined. In fact, Vietnam War may begin to look like a rather tame military affair. In the end, can US control Iran without capturing Tehran (a city of 12 million people) or Mashad (3 million), Isfahan (1.9 million) among many, or without controlling Mazenderan and its coast? I am all eyes and ears for anyone to give me a realistic number of US troops required to occupy this country. Do I hear the word Draft (which Bolton and most US elite so successfully dodged) in the air? So, in this case the issue of American internal policies not only may but will become so huge and so toxic that, well... make your own conclusions.

But the main issue here is not even Iran, but, as you might have guessed it already--Russia. And Russia can do a lot and I mean a lot, to address the Iran War, if one breaks out, and to make sure that Iran stands as a nation. In fact, something tells me that such contingencies are being discussed already between Russia and Iran. Iran is no friend of Russia but, judging by the latest events in Russia, Russia and overwhelming majority of Russians had it with the US and the West and Russia is a very wrong country to fvck with on any level once she decides that she had enough and it seems like that she, indeed, had it. But I am sure, John Bolton being a "specialist" in military affairs knows all that, right? I kid, I kid. I, in the last 4 years observed not a single American civilian, and even, which is terrifying, many military people, of prominence, who understand modern warfare realities of this moment of time. 

I am not going to review what Russia may do, and she will, since she also has some issues in Caucasus which need serious diplomatic addressing and she will not allow destabilization of Caucasus. Nor will she allow appearance of any hostile power on the shores of Caspian Sea. Bolton, being totally ignorant (it is not an assumption--I know this for a fact) of actual US resources, or lack thereof, issue will have, or already has, in mind a sort of replay of the sharper and more aggressive Cold War 1.0. There could be very few less qualified than Bolton people in Washington who could be entrusted with such an amateur plan, but once the first bombs start falling on Iran, or, for that matter on North Korea, the United States will start its countdown to own implosion. It seems that in general the United States has a constant issue with her National Security Advisers, be it late Zbig, whose loyalty was to Poland and who in his pathological Russophobia unleashed forces of Islamic jihad, or be it John Bolton, who is utterly unqualified in any matters concerning actual national security--the pattern is very clear. So, in order to not leave all of you in a somewhat depressed mood, I suggest we all listen to Bolton himself, Michael, of course. And what did you think? BTW, what a beautiful piece of music and lyrics. 


Thursday, March 22, 2018

Donald Just Being Donald.

In related news: the circus has left the town, or is on its way out anyway, it seems.

'No collusion': House Intel Committee votes to end Russia probe

Speaking shortly before the completion of the probe, committee member Michael Conaway said it would take the writer of a spy thriller to turn the “inadvertent contacts” between Trump associates and Russian officials into evidence of collusion.
I wonder (wink, wink) why such a suddenly "principled" Russia "analyst" (self-proclaimed, I may add) as Ralph Peters "suddenly" decided to leave Fox? Hm, could these two events be somehow connected (wink, wink)?  

Wednesday, March 21, 2018

WaPo: Trump’s national security advisers warned him not to congratulate Putin. He did it anyway.

This is the title of yet another hyperventilating piece in WaPo, where POTUS' "national security advisers" told him not to congratulate Putin and bring up an obvious false flag Skripal affair in conversation. Well, DJT showed that he is smarter than that.

President Trump did not follow specific warnings from his national security advisers Tuesday when he congratulated Russian President Vladi­mir Putin on his reelection — including a section in his briefing materials in all-capital letters stating “DO NOT CONGRATULATE,” according to officials familiar with the call.

I think it is as good time as any to start speaking in broadsides and basically give a final diagnosis to US "national security advisory" cabal an appropriate definition--it is incompetent and it is in a whole lot of an intolerable butt-hurt. A lot comes into this butt-hurt, such as General McMaster being nothing more than a peep-squeak when compared with people who are his counterparts in Russia. He is simply not in the same league as Gerasimov militarily or Patrushev intelligence wise. Nor "tough-talking" Mattis can impress anyone in Russia, not to mention that nobody in US military knows what it means to defend own country and what goes into this. The United States is in no danger of being invaded by treacherous barbaric Canadian troops or be bombed into the stone age by the mighty Mexico.  Plus, obvious barely hidden complex of inferiority. Hence childish behavior. 

Just an example, McMaster knows that none of his family, close and remote, are in any danger of being attacked by Russia, unless, of course, this Ph.D advises to attack Russia first and succeeds in his plans. It is really a simple reality, Russians do not want to kill Americans, but US establishment wants to kill Russians and the more the better. Should it come to it, they will have no problems with bombing the shit out of Moscow, St. Petersburg or Vladivostok. One of those psychopaths, Ralph Peters "resigned" from Fox today because poor fellow can not handle an actual (for once coming from Fox) attempt on telling some semblance of truth. Should, say, McMaster or whoever is in his "advisory" board ever had some of their relatives killed or maimed, or had their property blown to smithereens, or go hungry or cold for months as a direct result of a war and then suffer from crippling chronic illnesses--they may have changed their childish butt-hurt posture. But nobody among them has those experiences, all of them without exception are good ol' boys and girls, some of whom saw some brutality of war inflicted on others, but that is about it. Mattis may have flattened Fallujah but does he understand what it means to have one's own city flattened? They come from prosperity and century and a half long (in reality more) peaceful United States where the only reminder of a violence are criminal chronicles on TV and newspaper from communities from which no future officers or national security advisers emerge. Hence they always have non-stop urges to compensate for the lack of history, skills, often culture and this inferiority is not a good guide in making adult decisions. Paradoxically, DJT's undeniable narcissism and spontaneous nature may have been a good counter-balance to the advise of his so called "somebody's national security" advisory team and made him do a sensible and, in general, right thing to do. 

Today the US so called "national security" apparatus is the same as US "diplomacy"--a simulacra, a non existent phenomenon. A "national INsecurity" complex and a Deep State are more appropriate descriptions.  Moreover, it is a cabal of incompetents who are good only for palace intrigues and demonstrating their hurt feelings and who absolutely have no grasp of the world outside--it is a catastrophe. The "academe" and "expertdom" which supports this "national security" is mostly a sewer which is absolutely not qualified to pass any judgement or give advise on serious geopolitical,  military, economic, technological issues among many. The worst--they do not know history. They do not know American history, they sure as hell have no clue about 20th century military history and a real history of Russia is beyond their grasp.  So what's left for them? Sabotage. They sabotage a crucial line of communications between Presidents of Russia and USA which has a strategic global significance in preventing the world from sliding down towards a WW III, which will see hundreds of millions of people dead and more maimed and their lives destroyed. They sabotage the POTUS, who for all his personal failures, sincerely spoke many words of truth and wisdom during his campaign. In the end, they sabotage America herself--all those, however, slight attempts at finding some model which may work. This is the face of today's American "National Security" and those who serve it. They sure as hell do not serve America.

Russia’s historic recovery under President Putin and its gradual international influence shattered US pretense to rule over unipolar world. Russia’s recovery and control of its economic resources lessened US dominance, especially of its oil and gas fields.
As Russia consolidated its sovereignty and advanced economically, socially, politically and militarily, the West increased its hostility in an effort to roll-back Russia to the Dark Ages of the 1990’s.
The US launched numerous coups and military intervention and fraudulent elections to surround and isolate Russia . The Ukraine, Iraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen and Russian allies in Central Asia were targeted. NATO military bases proliferated.
Russia’s economy was targeted : sanctions were directed at its imports and exports. President Putin was subject to a virulent Western media propaganda campaign. US NGO’s funded opposition parties and politicians.
The US-EU rollback campaign failed.
The encirclement campaign failed.
The Ukraine fragmented – Russia allies took control of the East; Crimean voted for unification with Russia. Syria joined with Russia to defeat armed US vassals. Russia turned to China’s multi-lateral trade, transport and financial networks.
As the entire US unipolar fantasy dissolved it provoked deep resentment, animosity and a systematic counter-attack. The US’s costly and failed war on terror became a dress rehearsal for the economic and ideological war against the Kremlin ..Russia’s historical recovery and defeat of Western rollback intensified the ideological and economic war.
The UK poison plot was concocted to heighten economic tensions and prepare the western public for heightened military confrontations.
Russia is not a threat to the West: it is recovering its sovereignty in order to further a multi-polar world. President Putin is not an “aggressor” but he refuses to allow Russia to return to vassalage.
President Putin is immensely popular in Russia and hated by the US precisely because he is the opposite of Yeltsin – he has created a flourishing economy; he resists sanctions and defends Russia’s borders and allies.

Hysteria and being butt-hurt are first signs of weakness but this ageless wisdom seems to pass over those who in today's America pretend to know it all, while having no clue.

Margarita Simonyan' Manifesto.

A great post on Saker's site with RT's Chief Margarita Simonyan giving some passionate but in the same time sober assessment of Russia-West relations which are in the process of being dismantled not only by the West, which is obvious, but by Russians themselves. They had enough and they don't want to deal with West anymore. I don't blame them.

Essentially, the West should be horrified not because 76% of Russians voted for Putin, but because this elections have demonstrated that 95% of Russia’s population supports conservative-patriotic, communist and nationalist ideas. That means that liberal ideas are barely surviving among measly 5% of population.
And that’s your fault, my Western friends. It was you who pushed us into “Russians never surrender” mode.
I’ve been telling you for a long time to find normal advisers on Russia. Sack all those parasites. With their short-sighted sanctions, heartless humiliation of our athletes (including athletes with disabilities ), with their “skripals” and ostentatious disregard of the most basic liberal values, like a presumption of innocence, that they manage to hypocritically combined with forcible imposition of ultra-liberal ideas in their own countries, their epileptic mass hysteria, causing in a healthy person a sigh of relief that he lives  in Russia, and not in Hollywood, with their post-electoral mess in the United States, in Germany, and in the Brexit-zone; with their attacks on RT, which they cannot forgive for taking advantage of the freedom of speech and showing to the world how to use it, and it turned out that the freedom of speech never was intended to be used for good, but was invented as an object of beauty, like some sort of crystal mop that shines from afar, but is not suitable to clean your stables, with all your injustice and cruelty, inquisitorial hypocrisy and lies you forced us to stop respecting you. You and your so called “values.”
We don’t want to live like you live, anymore. For fifty years, secretly and openly, we wanted to live like you, but not any longer.
We have no more respect for you, and for those amongst us that you support, and for all those people who support you. That’s how this 5% came to be.
For that you only have yourself to blame. And also your Western politicians and analysts, newsmakers and scouts.
Our people are capable to forgive a lot. But we don’t forgive arrogance, and no normal nation would.
Your only remaining Empire would be wise to learn history of its allies, all of them are former empires. To learn the ways they lost  their empires. Only because of their arrogance.
White man’s burden, my ass (in English in the original text – trans.)
But the only Empire, you have left, ignores history, it doesn’t teach it and refuses to learn it,  meaning that it all will end the way it always does, in such cases.
In meantime, you’ve pushed us to rally around your enemy. Immediately, after you declared him an enemy, we united around him.
Before, he was just our President, who could be reelected. Now, he has become our Leader. We won’t let you change this.  And it was you, who created this situation.
It was you who imposed an opposition between patriotism and liberalism. Although, they shouldn’t be mutually exclusive notions. This false dilemma, created by you, made us to chose patriotism.
Even though, many of us are really liberals, myself included.
Get cleaned up, now. You don’t have much time left.
Not much to add here, really. I highlighted one (among many) very important point in Marga's message and that is what this blog was and is about since the inception, that is what forced me to write a book and start working on a second one. I can only reiterate what I stated 4 years ago. Detachment from reality and lies can last only so long without consequences. Consequences are coming now and we only begin to feel their dramatic effect. I quote myself:

But the conventional wisdom states that sand castles do not last.


Tuesday, March 20, 2018

The Message Was Delivered And It Was Received.

For many people who are too excitable, excusable though it is in our crazy times, they wanted the US power "elite" running out scared shouting "we surrender" after Vladimir Putin's March 1st revelations of Russia's major advancements in cutting edge weaponry. Add here now a stunning, even against well understood guarantee, Vladimir Putin's victory in presidential elections and a mandate given to him by overwhelming majority of Russian people. But things do not work in the way people (many of them) want them to work. 

Yes, after Russia revealed her, some rather stunning, weapons some US Senators definitely decided not to taunt the fate and, while repeating same ol' lies and accusations,  at least try to imagine that they have something of value to say. Obviously, this attempt was full hardy but at least it was something. Now, people who really matter in this case began to speak:

Trump says he will meet Putin to discuss ‘arms race that is getting out of control’ 

And this was precisely Putin's message on March 1st. It was not about Russia attacking the US--who in their own mind would come up with this insanity in a Russian culture which knows and abhors a war. Nor is Russia interested of "conquering" Europe, let alone Eastern European limitrophes--who needs freeloaders? Russia wants to talk and she wants to talk about many things with the United States which has now some heavy lifting to do on its part if it wants to remain relevant and influential in the next several decades. I will not lie, it is with a degree of bitterness that I am resigning myself to the reality of Russian-Chinese emerging union, since I know and love so much in real American culture (and cuisine--how can one live without chicken fried steak is beyond me) and as I stated not for once--historically the US and Russia are natural allies. But why it was not meant to be, once my books comes out--buy it, it may help to understand why.

But, as I stressed more than a year ago--the United States had very little to offer Russia. It has even less to offer to Russia today, but what the United States can offer which is a real tangible is agreement in principle that the discussion on new global security configuration should start immediately. It has to be understood, that this new configuration does not see anyone as having a right to act unilaterally on any serious geopolitical contingency. Is UN platform good for this? I doubt it, but it is just me and I could be wrong. As per arms race--I have to back Putin up, there will be no arms race. Russia will continue to maintain a decisive edge in a number of military technologies but Russia will not use them against anyone. If somebody decides to attack Russia then, well... Call it, if you wish, a guarantee against some unbalanced people who may come to power in some well-armed nations. So, it is good that Putin and Trump will meet and start talking. Long overdue. But a lot will also depend on how this sheer insanity of Russiagate and those who perpetrated it will be removed from power. 

Meanwhile in what can only be used to illustrate a famous principle that karma is a bitch, a butcher of Libya is facing some serious questioning. Actually, Libya is one of those cases where US' hand was forced by her allies of France and UK, who ran out of SMART munitions pretty fast in their pursuit of desirable macho status. Couldn't have happened to a "nicer" man, I have to say. 

Meanwhile, not only Russian combat lasers are now operational, but if not having enough grasp of a terrified world, Russians developed even more terrifying laser weapons. Totally inhumane and evil.


Saturday, March 17, 2018

Milos Obilic And Kosovo......

Milos Obilic who is known to Russians since Soviet times (and earlier)--his picture killing him a Sultan in every Soviet history books for school. A holy Orthodox warrior--for a Cross. This is how it sounds today--Kosovo Polje, Kosovo is Serbia... Kipelov says so and it is true....

Friday, March 16, 2018

Is Luftwaffe Being Sensible?

A rather interesting development today. Remember a year ago I wrote about Luftwaffe this:

Evidently today Germany's Luftwaffe decided to show that it may not ask "how high" it must jump since Luftwaffe chief was dismissed over F-35 support:

It is an interesting development since Germany certainly wants to see her combat aircraft to come from much nearer neighborhood--namely Europe, and namely from Eurofighter Typhoon. The issue here is what will be the American arm-twisting (and it is coming) strategy in trying to promote the fighter plane which, to put it politely, is not known to be the best performer for the same (very roughly) price of Eurofighter, which makes F-35 look like a... not that impressive. The United States needs to sell F-35 badly to at least have some claim that if this aircraft is not really good, at least it is a commercial success--not the best metric in assessing combat capability, but at lest something to show for historically unprecedented amount of money poured into F-35. 
It will be very interesting to observe all this inter-NATO military-technological maneuvering against the background of now deafening anti-Russian hysteria since it may give some inkling of where this whole Cold War 2.0 will go. Germany, for all her troubles, sees herself as a Europe's kingpin, while US (and London) do not like this idea. Germany can succeed in realization of such vision only if... and here it comes--she resolves her energy issues. But 2019 and Power of Siberia is nearing its completion and there is already Chinese access to some very sensitive Russian industries. So, Germany has a lot of thinking to do about how she wants to arrange her road towards her aspirations and if it is possible at all. Just a small detail--Luftwaffe knows how to fly MiG-29s--I kid, I kid. Plus, there is always nervous France, I kid again.   

Meanwhile. This adorable and beautiful girl is... Theresa May. Man, time is cruel to all of us.

I also was very beautiful when I was young, LOL. Actually, once as a toddler I graced the front page of Baku's most important newspaper. I will post it at some point of time.

Wednesday, March 14, 2018

This Is Exactly How It Happened. .

The title in Russian in the picture reads: This is exactly how it happened. Meanwhile many Russians are suggesting, with a snark, Grigory Rodchenkov to immediately get back to Russia to save his life. Something tells me that Rodchenkov by now may indeed begin to contemplate this move. After all FSB or GRU (wink, wink) somehow "dispose" of their former own spies, despite exchanging them with all that comes with the territory, in a very efficient and, what is most remarkable--very public manner. I am sure CIA and MI-6 have absolutely, like total zero, nothing to do with this sudden spike in mortality of those Russian turncoats (wink, wink).  

Tuesday, March 13, 2018

Two Can Play The Game.

I return back to my last week (or last several days--I don't remember really) figure of speech about somebody flipping the "switch", which I also mentioned today. The Russia's Foreign Ministry's response to UK with its threat to shut down RT due to Russia, obviously, committing the last poisoning of whoever he (she, it) was and being solely responsible for FC Arsenal not having any prospects, yet again, at EPL title, plus some other British calamities (dentistry?), was rather remarkable:

No British outlet will work in Russia if London shuts down RT - Foreign Ministry

Maria Zaharova was explicit in explaining to London that:
“I can tell you right now that not a single British media outlet will be working in our country if they shut RT down,”
Lavrov's rebuttal to this stupid neocon former waste management company accountant turned "diplomat" Nikki Hailey was also rather straightforward: 
Madame Haily must understand that it is one thing to exploit a microphone  in the UN Security Council, totally another is when military people, both Russian and American, have channels of communications and it is clearly articulated through these channels what is allowed and what is not. American coalition knows this very well.
Far from being idealistic on this issue but I always stated that if left to actual real military people in US, chances of Russia and US to settle would grow exponentially. It is also clear that US (and UK) political "elites" are irrational, corrupt and incompetent--a perfect combination for screwing things up big time and, as overwhelming empirical evidence shows, they were doing a swell job in destroying both their own (???) country and the world. Below is not a joke, but aspiration. 


Teresa May As A Symptom.

People started asking me about this whole, obviously false flag, situation with former GRU spook's and his daughter's poisoning. Ziad asked me next:

Judging by Theresa May's public accusation of Russian responsibility for an act of terrorism using chemical agent and injuring bystanders (all boxes are ticked) I am not hopeful that Putin's speech of March 1st has had the desired effect. If anything, it seems to have convinced them that they have to fight Russia now rather than 10 years from now. Initially I was hopeful that the white house was trying to deescalate matters, but then Tillerson jumped in with both feet beside the Brits.

 I will start from afar. Here is Valery Gerasimov's statement today and I quote:

Do you feel the difference? As I stated somewhere earlier this week, it seems that someone flipped the switch and it is not the United States, let alone some secondary derivative US lap dog power as UK.  In this case yesterday's piece of famous Russian-Armenian political analyst, and renown Moscow Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) professor, Andranik Migranyan at Ria.Ru is very symptomatic. Its title speaks for itself: Why Trump's Revolution Is Bound To Fail (in Russian). In it Migranyan states well known to anybody with a half-brain obvious fact--it is over for Trump as independent US President and as an agent of such a needed change for the US. Trump got drowned by both the US political system and corruption and incompetence of American "elites". As I wrote last August when Trump was effectively stripped of his rights to formulate more-or-less sane policy towards Russia by US Congress:
Now that Donald Trump lost his most important battle so far (no, it is not about Russia's sanctions, it is about Executive Branch conduct of US foreign policy) and was stripped of powers he was elected to exercise, we need to talk about... Putin.

Moscow now has a clear idea that there is nobody to talk to in Washington, let alone in London which is nothing more than a proxy and a lightning rod for hysteria which completely engulfed "exceptional" elites. Russia's presidential elections and upcoming World Cup are the last, in inflamed neocon imagination, "pressure" points of influence on Russia. Well, that and Ukraine. Yes, they still think that, albeit increasingly it looks like acts of utter desperation. Anything goes for them in this case. False flag by poisoning yet another former Russian turncoat? Sure. Chemical  weapons false flag in Syria? Absolutely. Do they want a hot war with Russia? Some certainly do. Do they understand what they wish for? No, American elites in general have no grasp of the nature of military power and of its application. But DO they feel that they are going down? Absolutely. All of them. Some, indeed, merely feel that, others already begin to understand. Hence the hysteria. 

In their view something has to be done, even if risking a war, to prevent or even slow down a complete disintegration of the Pax Americana and the so called liberal world order which is happening in a front of our eyes. Be it demonstrated Russia's military-technological superiority, or a complete failure of US "analytical" organizations to predict anything right about Russia--all these are the signs of a terminal illness. Russia doesn't see anymore any sense in appeasement and accommodations with the US. It seems that Gerasimov's warning is quite blunt. Moscow clearly understands that these now are CIA and its branch, Department of State, which run US foreign policy, well, as a result game changes. The United States decided to open Cold War 1.0 playbook but considering the fact that a lot in that book is simply a fantasy, a figment of imagination by "exceptional" historians, it is already clear where this Cold War 2.0 may lead. It is not the future the United States wants to contemplate but it is one, it seems, it cannot avoid anymore. Teresa May and her political show, in this case, are merely symptoms, not the cause of the ailment.