Showing posts with label framework.. Show all posts
Showing posts with label framework.. Show all posts

Sunday, January 12, 2025

In Related News.

 Confusion reigns. 

Phone talks between US President-elect Donald Trump and Russian President Vladimir Putin are expected within the “coming days and weeks,” incoming US National Security Adviser Michael Waltz believes. The potential call could serve as the foundation for further negotiations and an in-person meeting between Trump and Putin, Waltz told ABC News on Sunday. “We have not set an exact framework for it, yet we’re working on that. But I do expect a call at least in the coming days and weeks. That will be a step and we’ll take it from there,” Waltz said.

So, the framework hasn't been set but "preparations continue", evidently on the US side only, because as Mr. Peskov stated two days ago--Moscow hasn't received any requests about anything. But when even cretins from neocon ISW get it:

Vladimir Putin will not alter his demands for the isolation of Ukraine and does not intend to relinquish this issue during any potential negotiations to end the conflict, according to the American Institute for the Study of War.  Putin's objectives remain the same: to prevent Kyiv from joining NATO and to pressure the Alliance to avoid deploying troops in Eastern Europe to ensure there are "no threats to Russia," reports ISW. Thus, analysts from the Washington-based think tank concur with the information reported by the "Financial Times" on Saturday. "Putin's December 2021 demands notably extend beyond Ukraine and aim to roll NATO back. Kremlin Spokesperson Dmitry Peskov reiterated on January 10 that the Kremlin is ready to hold talks with Trump without any 'preconditions,'" the report states. "ISW continues to assess that no negotiations will result in a meaningful or sustainable peace as long as Putin remains committed to his pre-war demands for full Ukrainian capitulation and the weakening of NATO," American analysts indicate.

In related news, I am "setting the framework" for me becoming a millionaire. My bank and credit organizations do not know about it, but I am setting it, nonetheless. In the same vein--Waltz stated that nothing could be excluded in Greenland's case. Like, you know, military "scenario"))) It is getting curioser and curioser. 

Friday, May 13, 2022

Statement For Ukie and Other Trolls. Read Attentively.

Judging by the activity of all kinds of Ukie IPSO and simply "patriotic", US-UK, NATO etc. trolls and FUD "masters" at this blog, including promoters of an open anti-Russian asset Girkin (aka Strelkov), let me explain something.

1. I do not have nor do I follow any Telegram channels for a simple reason--ANY, I underscore, ANY so called info in those TGs unless it is from official and accredited sources is a collection of a BS, most of which is either FUD ops or, otherwise, turbo-"patriotic" crap. It is also the main reason I do not follow all those Podolyakas, "Colonel" Cassads, Kotenoks, and other "analysts" whose level of reporting is this:

"I was in the first APC when we got hit with NLAW....", or "We take these POWs but we have got 2 200s in our unit.." etc. I respect deeply the combat work LDNR forces do and heroism of their guys but I do not bother myself with constant description of tactical and human minutiae of this war, because this is not what I do. I AM NOT interested in opinions of even heroic and very tactically literate soldiers. Even the best of them do not have background to have a competent opinion on the theater of operations scale-wise issues, let alone on geopolitics and strategy. This is not to denigrate those people, no, but unless one has a serious military-intel-academic background in this there is nothing to talk about. But even tactically, you saw yourself how yet another Ukie fake was debunked with this river-crossing BS. So, for trolls--I now will ban you without any warning and will continue to ban you. 

2. Here is how professionals talk about war. 

They talk about war correlates, attrition rates, mobilization, combat cohesion etc. They also do not get excited over some tactical episodes which create a lot of impression on housewives and househusbands, mama's basement "strategists" and the category of public like this. I try in this blog to bring most professional and competent opinions by people who DO understand and you know those people from Larry Johnson, Douglas Macgregor to Scott Ritter, Russian MoD, Russian military specialists etc. I do not take kindly to those who bring here such human waste as Girkin--those posts will be removed, unless they are for  the purpose of making a case from such tools as Girkin, Bellingcat and other intel propaganda assets and poking well-deserved fun at them. 

3. So, the general message here (I reiterate) is that I will be removing all kinds of "analyses" which are obviously fake or are nothing, which is the 99% of the cases, but a result of mass media echo-chamber, because REAL plans, REAL maps, REAL movements of troops, REAL data are known only to Russia's General Staff and nobody else. Us, former military and intel professionals, we merely try to give the operational and strategic framework--that requires a completely different set of skills which is required on the tactical level. 

Now, re:  yesterday's mentioning of the centers of containment for VSU POWs. Thanks to Kadyrov guys, part of the Zvezda TV made it to UTube. Here it is:

This is not staged and the only difference with full Zvezda report is the absence of the work of the security systems around such centers. There is NO doubt that many VSU POWs are absolutely stunned by the attitude and treatment by Russian Armed Forces. In related news, Western propaganda is getting back on its favorite subject--Russians raping women. Well, what can I say, they better refer to MI-6 and such "historians" as Anthony Beavor--they know everything about raping. 

IN the end, for those who want to listen to my "slight" intro to force multipliers and basic attrition model, here is my yesterday's video.  
   

People asked and I may, in the end, do a few lectures on combat models and operations. I wanted to do it anyway. 

P.S. For a good level of military journalism for general public, here is an excellent piece by Vlad Shurigin about "Tanks of Mariupol" (in Russian). Remarkably, LDNR forces DO begin to receive T-72B3s.