Monday, September 29, 2025

It Takes Different System.

In fact, it takes different economy. Calling on the phone or arranging conference calls is not going to cut it. 

The US is working to ramp up missile production in preparation for a potential conflict with China, the Wall Street Journal reported Monday, citing officials familiar with the matter. The Pentagon is reportedly pressing defense contractors to double or quadruple output amid mounting concerns over insufficient weapons stockpiles. The US Department of Defense launched the drive in June, when it invited top missile makers to a Pentagon roundtable, sources told the paper. Led by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth and Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine, the meeting drew major arms contractors, startups like Anduril Industries and crucial component suppliers.

To understand the scale it is enough to mention that Russia is using up to 500 air defense missiles DAILY--primarily short to mid-range AD complexes such as Pantsir, Tor and Buk of various iterations. Here is a demonstration:


This is a rather "calm" day and only 147 UAVs have been shot down, then there are always all kinds of shit like HIMARS et al--they also get shot down (most if not all of them) and just for the 29 September 2025 Russian Army's expenditure of missiles (including missiles of Igla type launched often from Ka-52 and Mi-28 helos). There is, obviously, EW too. The average daily shooting down of UAVs alone throughout SMO is about 180 (178, actually) per day. So, we can now move into a very rough estimate for UAVs (alone, I stress it for UAVs alone). We reduce the number of those UAVs shot down by AD missiles (for convenience) to 100 daily. 

So, the basic math, then, is such: 100 daily shot down by AD missiles (no EW, no anti-drones, no AAA), SMO lasts 1,313 days so far. So, we multiply 100 by 1,313 and get 131,300 air defense missiles of all kinds. If you think that this:

Deputy Defense Secretary Steve Feinberg is playing an “unusually” hands-on role in the effort, reportedly known as the Munitions Acceleration Council. The WSJ noted that the top official personally calls some executives on a weekly basis to track their progress. “President Trump and Secretary Hegseth are exploring extraordinary avenues to expand our military might and accelerate the production of munitions,” Pentagon spokesman Sean Parnell told the newspaper. “This effort has been a collaboration between defense industry leaders and senior Pentagon officials.” The new acceleration council is focused on 12 weapons that the Pentagon wants on hand for a potential conflict with China, the WSJ relayed. Some officials and experts have reportedly expressed concerns that the Pentagon’s goals may be unrealistic, citing the fact that assembling certain missile systems can take up to two years. At the same time, certifying new suppliers requires hundreds of millions of dollars to ensure the products meet military standards. Funding remains another major concern, according to analysts cited by the news outlet. While the “Big, Beautiful Bill” recently approved by Washington provided an extra $25 billion in munitions spending over five years, meeting the Pentagon’s new targets could require tens of billions more.

Is going to help--I have a bridge to sell you. For war with China the US will need not 12 but likely 120 types of weapons most of which do not exist in nature--the emphasis on AD. Especially considering such a teeny-weeny fact that with Russia having China's back--a fact which is well-known--one MUST ask the question of what happens when Russia either transfers or deploys and mans her weapon systems to aid China? We know the answer. Or rather, we know that there is no answer quantitatively and qualitatively if, God forbid, crazies in D.C. decide to test REAL opponents. But then again, all this hassle in D.C. is yet another indication of a collapsing empire and there are no "extraordinary avenues". To fight REAL war the US must have a political and economic system based on fundamentally different principles which is impossible to conceive today in the country which largely faked its military history of the XX and XXI centuries. 

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