... when people with zero military and STEM background begin to bloviate on matters they have no gasp of whatsoever.
For starters, for Mr. Hanson--the US HAS 12 CVNs and 11 CSGs, on paper, but this is not how fleets operate because the US will not be able to deploy all 11 of them simultaneously. Here is a reminder to Mr. Hanson WHAT the US Navy currently "operates".
As "Prosperity Guardian" (Good Lord, who comes up with these titles?) operation has demonstrated--the old adage about Carrier Strike Groups is just that--old. Didn't work against Houthis, against the power operating supersonic anti-shipping missiles with ranges of not 60 miles but 600+, I have news for Mr. Hanson--it is going to be ugly, and here is a thingy.
This is the photo of one of the US CVNs in the South China Sea. It is taken from orbit by one of many recon and targeting sats with good optronic and radar channels. This means one thing--the targeting is received and the firing solution for a salvo of supersonic (or hypersonic, wink, wink) missiles is always ready. After that--Salvo Model in place and off we go. The probability of hitting said CVN is described by classic models for missile salvos.
But I am sure Mr. Hanson knows all of it--with his degree in classics and military "history", I am sure he can deduce all those parameters. I reiterate the issue--US Navy's CSGs are tracked constantly and they are not survivors in real war. What Hanson extolls as a virtue is, in fact, a huge vulnerability of the carrier-centric navy stuck in the WW II mindset. But what do I know?
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