Thursday, February 14, 2019

About US Dollar and Sanctions, Yet Again.

The Cold War (2.0, 3.5, whatever) is heating up and a new salvo of "sanctions from hell" (Bob Menendez and Lindsey Graham--both hellish creatures should know best) against Russia will most likely pass.  
At this stage there should be no surprise with American legislators being completely situationally unaware, but as the saying goes--if they want to shoot themselves (and their, allegedly, own country) in the foot, let them. It is clear that once dominance of the US Dollar and the system which sustains it is removed, consequences for the United States could be catastrophic. The question is NOT about IF US Dollar will survive as world's reserve currency--this is not even up for a debate--it is WHEN and HOW the departure will happen. 

The United States certainly will try to, yet again, leave Russian economy "in tatters", but, something tells me that the result will be the same as it was the last time. Yet again we all will have to endure economic "analysis" from Wall Street "economists" and Russia's political fringes on how Russia will, yet again (I lost count already) be on the brink of collapse, any minute now, in their desperate attempts to obfuscate a simple strategic reality--Russia is a completely economically self-sustainable entity. If one discounts those morons from "economic block" in Russian government (euphemism for useless people), one can sense nowadays some really big shifts happening in Russia's power Olympus. Mikhail Hazin altogether declared that Putin is getting ready for war. I don't know, I though Putin was getting ready for way since, well, let's say 2007 Munich Speech. Of course Russia is getting ready for war, including economic one. 

Recent (two days ago) excellent piece by Vladislav Surkov on the fate of Russia and his superb hyperbole about "deep people" of Russia and of Putin's "long state", and especially enjoyable squealing from butt-hurt of all kinds of Russia's liberal and (so called) "nationalist" nobodies as a reaction to this piece, gives a good insight into Kremlin's mode of thinking. Especially when it comes from Kremlin's very notable insider who, actually, does speak for this very "deep" people. So, in the end, one has to ask a question what these deep people of Russia really want and how this new "sanctions from hell" will affect country. I have an answer, I wrote about this answer long time ago. Remember, War and Peace? 
"But all the general and soldiers of [Napoleon’s] army…experienced a similar feeling of terror before an enemy who, after losing half his men, stood as threateningly at the end as at the beginning of the battle. The moral force of the attacking French army was exhausted. Not that sort of victory which is defined by the capture of pieces of material fastened to sticks, called standards, and of the ground on which the troops had stood and were standing, but a moral victory that convinces the enemy of the moral superiority of his opponent and of his own impotence was gained by the Russians at Borodino…The direct consequence of the battle of Borodino was Napoleon’s senseless flight from Moscow… and the downfall of Napoleonic France, on which at Borodino for the first time the hand of an opponent of stronger spirit had been laid"(c)
A geopolitical Borodino, which was sometimes also compared to the Great Patriotic War's most important battles, from  the Battle of Moscow to Stalingrad and Kursk battles, escaped the attention of US "elites" who will now enter the final stages of desperation trying to save the only thing they know--US Dollar financial system--by means of greatly accelerated destruction of it. Once that is gone or greatly degraded (in progress, as I type this)--an inevitable consequence of the US fighting Russia's sovereign debt or, as was expected, switching Russia off from SWIFT--watch out, the main driving force of real economy and military might will reveal itself fully. As well as a true state of American economy which is not capable anymore, bar some few exceptions such as microchip and commercial aerospace (bells are ringing) industries, to produce anything competitive, will be revealed. Energy? Well, even here everything is not what it looks like, hence Germans suddenly exhibiting some signs of rudimentary spine. As per US military, well, I will abstain for now. So, let the party begin...         

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