His ideas about "two conditions", especially about drones, are those of the amateur in warfare and its specific field of Air Defense. But then again, where can he get his data from? Of course from same amateurs as he is and they take it from visuals and 404 propaganda. Yet, this guy remains in continuous rotation in every media and delivers platitudes time after time. He was wrong about Russia so consistently, so outlandishly bad for the last 10+ years, that I don't even know how to explain to him what REAL air defense is and how it operates. He will not grasp it. He will not listen anyway.
For Mearsheimer it is advised to get acquainted with Russia's Military Doctrine and to look up real situation on the battlefield and then try to figure out what are the objectives of Russia in SMO, and not from merely statements of Russian officials but based on verifiable data. I have news for him--and videos and testimonies, such as deputy commander of the 4th Brigade of the 6th Motor Rifle Division responsible for UAV systems and their operations (among many others) who actually implement daily what amounts to anti-drone measures, effectively UAV air-to-air combat in the tactical zone.
While REAL number of UAV leakers into Russia is expressed in SINGLE digits, but Mearsheimer knows nothing about. For the US those things are beyond the grasp, including this thing:
This was in 2024, since then the production increased a number of times. Russia outproduces whole of combined West (NATO and shit) by an order of magnitude in all types of drones. Now let's get to 2026. This is Mr. Manturov:
For arithmetically challenged (forget about combat models used for planning of operations against NATO's aerial terrorism) this means: 365 x 15,000 = 5,475,000 drones per year. Combined West's economies will choke trying to match this. But then again, one must be situationally aware--a novelty thing for Pentagon, CIA and so called "analysts" such as Mearsheimer. And so he continues with platitudes.
Now to the crux of the matter--Russia MAY strike Europe, and among targets could be some of those UAVs-producing facilities, but if it happens, it is going to be NOT the main consideration, and NATO's UAVs could be used MERELY as casus belli. Already now Russia blunted and mitigated all this "wall of drones"--yet another pathetic moniker for NATO's military impotence--if Russia will be striking Europe she will come in hard and main targets will be the remnants of NATO's industrial plant, thus solving a strategic task of a complete demilitarization of Europe. But here we enter the sphere of a strategic ambiguity which plays extremely well for Russia, who knows about herself and combined West orders of magnitude more than Mr. Mearsheimer.
P.S. You all know that 404 "struck" today ... drum roll ... 46 "Russian tankers" in the Sea of Azov. I was incensed--why such a low number? There should have been at least 250 tankers hit and another 50,000 Russians killed around Moscow, which is about to fall. This "quick victory" thing becomes nauseating.
... 404 flags and demand government stops recruiting cannon fodder for 404.
Here is a gruesome fate of one such Columbian "volunteer" who didn't do his homework on the abyss separating "operations" of cartels and lefty guerrillas and fighting the best army in the world. It is too late now for learning.
Seriously? They still believe it? Europe is Russia's EXSISTENTIAL enemy and there will be no lifelines. Europe as it exists today must die--it is Satanists and pedophiles' playground with brainwashed population (majority of it, anyway) and an economic basket case.
Nice try, but no. Europe must be completely removed from the new world order as a subject and must be kept demilitarized and under the constant threat of punishment. It must be allowed to consume herself in internal squabbles, warfare, multiculturalism, Islamization and degeneracy until no threat (to the rest of the world) of war originating there remains. Russia, of course, will continue to maintain contacts with normal Europeans but their chances of getting to power and changing anything in Europe are approaching zero and there should be no trust anyway. The US is a separate matter.
This is the graph of a number of 404 refugees in Europe.
Of course, not all of those refugees are necessarily horrible people but very many end up not only demanding "respect" from Europeans but are involved in abuse of welfare systems and demand more privileges. There is also a substantial contingent of the organized crime with many participants having experience in combat. So, EU police will have (already?) a jolly good time handling those guys.
Meanwhile, Russia released a video dedicated to Volyn tragedy--a massacre of more than 100,000 Polish, primarily women and children, civilians by banderites. FSB also released some NKVD documents on this matter. Guess the reaction from Poland.
Well, too late for Poland to have objections and hysterical reactions. The deed was done. Poland supported the butchers of her own people.
... a massive bullshit bomb yesterday that Turkey is ... selling her S-400 to Qatar, LOL)) Well, Mr. Fidan, Turkey's Foreign Minister, was forced today to explain things.
It is from the same opera as Trump "giving" a license to produce Patriot missiles to 404. Trump cannot do that (apart from the absurdity of this whole Kabuki theater), neither can Turkey sell S-400 without explicit permission from Russia. Some in Turkey are so desperate to get F-35s, LOL).
This culture of bringing up celebrity warriors into the media sphere is not unique to the US only, but it is only in the US where this culture is brought to its grotesque and ugly conclusion. Here is one such example, among many. Here is the bio of Tim Kennedy. Keep focus on this part.
Kennedy joined the Army on January 4, 2004, and completed Basic Combat Training, Advanced Individual Training, Airborne School, Special Forces Assessment and Selection and the Special Forces Qualification Course. Kennedy was featured in Dick Couch's book about Green Beret selection called Chosen Soldier under the moniker "Tom Kendall". In 2007, he completed Ranger School and was assigned to the 7th Special Forces Group. During this time he was also a sniper, sniper instructor, and the principal combatives instructor for C Company, 3rd Battalion, 7th Special Forces Group. Kennedy deployed in support of Operation Iraqi Freedom (OIF) and Operation Enduring Freedom (OEF). In August 2009, Kennedy transitioned from active duty to the Texas Army National Guard, joined 19th Special Forces Group and served in the position of Special Forces Weapons Sergeant, and has continued to serve with the Texas Army National Guard since then. On April 16, 2017, Kennedy announced his reenlistment into the U.S. Army Special Forces, praising the leadership of Secretary of Defense James Mattis and National Security Adviser H.R. McMaster.
In other words--a biography of at best NCO lower tactical level soldier who, judging by his wide spectrum of interests, could possibly be also an astronaut, quantum mechanics theoretician and a superman.
What he is not--he is not a high tactical (brigade) or operational (division and up) level officer with serious academic and service background which would allow him to pass judgements on operational, let alone strategic, planning and how it is integrated across C4ISR. But he passes his ridiculous ideas on warfare nonetheless. Needless to say his combat experiences in Iraq or Afghanistan are absolutely irrelevant to modern war and the thing US forces only now begin to experience, such as discreet fire impact from Iran. In the SMO zone US experiences are catastrophic due to extremely low professional level of top brass.
Of course, he wouldn't understand what does it mean to be under the consistent fire impact, not from RPG or small arms fire, but from 152-mm artillery or FAB with UMPK. US Armed Forces have no experience with this:
This is what happens when you fight real enemy who outguns and outranges you, but Kennedy wouldn't know that. So, what's left? Become a celebrity warrior, speaking about things he wouldn't understand.
For people who still cannot grasp the abyss separating cadre officers and celebrity warriors, let me explain on a practical and maximum humble example of myself. If to imagine that somehow my health is back, I am younger by about 20 years, just to explain to you what would it take for me to go through two--three months updates and study and I will able to get clearance for the command of this:
Or carry out duties of Deputy Chief of Staff of the Separate Brigade of such ships. In terms of ground forces (remember--our graduates have a second specialty as marines), probably same level of Deputy CS of a separate Marines' Brigade. Maybe COS. Ah, yes--I am no sniper or MMA fighter. I just have some good ideas how combat is planned on a serious level and how command and control are done. I am no celebrity.
Especially considering the fact that Milei (Argentina's President) is a fanatical Zionist and Leo Messi did his part in indicating that he is an Israeli puppet.
There is very little doubt that this WC has a political dimension and that Argentina is being pushed to the finals and probably setting up the rematch with France. For those people, btw, who still believe in objective refereeing, here is a trip down the memory lane.
This time UEFA needed FC Barcelona in the finals and Ovrebo literally killed Chelsea.
Disgrace continues. So does "explanation" effort on part of "interpreters" of the rules who worship their Israeli stooge Leo Messi and the country which seems to be strangely attuned to Israel's interests, as was FC Barcelona in 2010 with all this UNICEF BS and we are "the good humanitarians" image.
Well, the last statement is a wowser. I am sure this "official" was saying this with a straight face. I guess Belgrade TV station was swarming with "military" in 1999, or that executing civilian Vietnamese, Iraqis or Afghans are the facts from the parallel universe and have nothing to do with our reality, on this planet, where the US managed to kill through its wars ...
Your only skill is in giving BJs. So, you and your szlachta ilk are now going to live with supporting the butchers of innocent Polish women, children and men.
Budanov, in this respect, is absolutely correct--404 will continue to do in Poland as it wishes and considering the "professional" level of Polish security apparatus (I read some of their "thoughts") Poland better brace herself for terrorism, lawlessness and national humiliation because this is what happens when you betray oneself.
Scott reposted his piece from three years ago--at the time when the US Army finally revealed its pathetic level of operational planning and sheer unprofessionalism (Donahue, Aguto--yes, that's you, plus some others) with the vaunted "counter-offensive" it planned and conducted including even on the tactical level of battalions and even companies.
Applebaum is no historian--she is a fanatical Zionist ideologue, an academic fraud from Ivy League (Yale) degree mill(s), and she is the wife of Radek Sikorski. So, it is from this explosive mix of delusion and centuries old butthurt (and control by London) that Poland contributed mightily to a catastrophe which also is beginning to affect Warsaw on a personal level. And Warsaw will get more humiliating insults from her "ally" in 404 because official Warsaw deep down is fine with Nazis.
Yes, Poland doesn't want to remember that Hitler and Pilsudski have been good buddies and the first Non-Aggression Pact in Europe was concluded between Poland and Germany in 1934, aka "Hitler-Pilsudski Pact". But let the bygones be bygones, right? As long as somebody kills Russians Warsaw will be fine, even if it has to perform a fellatio on genocidal maniacs.
... bloviates. Russian Army saves children in and around Konstantinovka. Sophia is 10 she was found in rubble. Parents and all relatives are gone.
Sophia is safe now. She is one of many, she is the victim of the US imperialism which fights and kills children from Gaza, to Starobelsk, to Minab--that's the only thing they know how. Fighting real war? No, this is now a well established empirically fact, and while these sociopaths and perverts continue to make grandiose gestures and issue grandiose statements in Istanbul ...
... reality is knocking on their doors--they simply ran out of resources and time. They lost any moral cause for existence.
... who still don't get the MAIN objective of SMO and the fact that Russia fights NATO, not 404, whatever is left of it. Main objective of SMO is demilitarization of the NATO which largely has been accomplished. Here is one such indicator and the symptom.
But here is a problem which all those think-tankers and NATO generals refuse to acknowledge: you need production capability and technology. Europe doesn't have it. Neither does the US. And why more money alone cannot help, but in fact impede real technological development--to explain this one has to take a look attentively at the latest (this month) GAO Report on the state of the US military and its programs and why MTA (Middle Tier of Acquisition) track reeks of Dotcom bubble. I explain this and other things in my latest video today, which should be up shortly.
... boogie nights. Today is yet another one, very loud, many 3M22 Zircons, 3M14 Kalibrs, Iskanders et al. One of the, likely the storage of baby food (wink, wink), targets with purely civilian products detonates wonderfully in Kiev's suburb.
A lot of noise and explosions. Trump called Putin yesterday and, likely, will call Putin after he meets green cocaine-addict in Istanbul at NATO summit in an attempt to bullshit unbullshitable yet again, but keep in mind--Russians are not interested to host Witkoff and Kushner again--tentatively they may get to Moscow in August, maybe--because there is nothing to talk about. I stress, again, for those who continue to get their news from media headlines--most of what you hear and read has no relation to reality, especially if you use Western media or the so called Russian voenwhores.
Once the hype of 250th wears off and the spectacle of World Cup comes to an end, Trump Admin will be left with the consequences of everything what had happened in Gaza, SMO and Iran and they don't go anywhere and are here to stay.
The funeral proceedings in Iran are immense, they are also a testimony to a low level of the US (and Israel's) warfighting capabilities, unless, of course, they murder children.
US is good at providing targeting against civilians. And then they confabulate own and others' military history.
Konstantinovka and a present and clear cartoonish danger to UK "democracy".
In my childhood, we saw Disney cartoons in movie theaters--those have been considered of a highest artistic value. We knew Tom and Jerry, but British MPs are shaking in their boots because Masha and the Bear are Russian propaganda. What this degenerate political class in the West does not understand is that when you become a laughing stock--it is over for you. Iran humiliated Trump with Lego cartoons. Now those NKVD and SVR characters openly mock morons from London, who want to cancel them in UK.
They are afraid, afraid of a mischievous little girl and a grandfatherly bear, admired globally. Some episodes of Masha and the Bear have billions of views. This is when you know that you are done--you exposed yourself as weak and scared.
... golden age for the US, which, evidently, the US entered on his watch. At this stage I only hope that that's not the "golden age" Trump envisions for the US.
On the second thought--this is precisely how he envisions it. Well, what can I say ...
Meanwhile, Nikolaevka is getting "softened up".
And this is significant because of this:
In the same time, elements of the 6th Motorrifle Division are already around Druzhkovka. I plan to elaborate on report by the Chief of the Main Operational Directorate (GOU) of the General Staff General Rudskoi on some Konstantinovka stats, suffice it to say 404 lost 13,500 of personnel there and that city was prepared for 10 years to be a festung--didn't help. Same is going to happen with Slavyansk-Kramatorsk agglomeration. So, NATO will continue with the only thing it knows how to do--terrorism, trying to kill as many civilian Russian women, children and men as possible. Well, I am now 100% positive that the list of targets in NATO territory has been generated, not to mention the fact that ...
Hm, make bets on who first will be visited by one of Russia's stand-off weapons. Dmitry Orlov proposed Denmark, actually. I don't know. So many options.
... this is a metaphysical clash between Satanism of the West, especially as represented by evangelical fundamentalists and dispensationalists against spiritual tradition of 2000 years.
Italy may raise concerns whatever it wants, but decomposing West will not stop.
Bulgaria, whose population is predominantly composed of Orthodox Christians, also opposed the proposal. Sofia argued that while it generally does not support “sanctions that are primarily symbolic,” the move could be viewed as religious persecution.
"Symbolic" eventually will become a law and fanatics in Brussels, Paris or Berlin will make sure that Euro-sheeple will not have any alternative to "European values" whose main objective is institutionalizing pedophilia and a complete removal of the traditional morality. This is one of the major drivers of the ongoing conflict between Europe and Russia and whose outcome is already certain.
One cannot always frame things in purely economic terms, however critical, one must always consider a larger picture and a nature of the conflict which is always complex and what would seem secondary may eventually become primary. In the end, for people who get into the real study of WW II, as much as I do not take Karen Shakhnazarov for serious thinker and the top tier director, in the White Tiger he captured the essence of Europe's centuries-old march to the East.
That's what Europe wanted. That's what they want--to see Russia and Russians gone. Not all, I'll give them that, but the majority. In the end, Vatican wanted that too.
... well, this will continue and it is all about blowing out the remainder of industrial, storage and C2 facilities. Mind you this is not just Kiev, whole of 404 is burning.
Against the background of a catastrophe around Zaporozhie (that's the whole other can of worms), those morons in Wiesbaden group will try to repeat something akin to Krinki. Sure, the result (as my sources tell me) will make slaughterhouse at Krinki a stroll in the park in comparison for VSU. They desperately try to drag Belarus into it somehow, but no worries--Lukashenko is escaping travelling abroad and do not forget, he tacitly supported 404. Yet another attack on Belorussian bus today by Luka's "friends" in Kiev, official Minsk will take its sweet time to issue condemnation, or maybe not issue at all.
... when you are a credentialed humanities brainwashed idiot who teaches in the US Naval War College, which prepares officers for the US Navy which still cannot grasp what had happened to it.
The whole notion that you can teach "strategery" without serious military background, and especially so in terms of weapon systems integration and C4ISR is risible. Sarah Paine wouldn't understand any of it, because REAL technological dimension of war of the 21st century requires everything what she doesn't have--a hard knowledge and professional analytical apparatus. When you don't have any--you immediately begin exploiting old and beaten to death clichés about maritime trade and getting back to navalism of Mahan. She obviously never read legendary Chester Nimitz' admission in 1946 at Senate's hearing about the role of the navies.
Obviously, Sarah Paine doesn't understand modern economy, nor does she understand the backgrounds of the two humiliating defeats of the US Navy at the two critical choke points (Strait of Hormuz and Bab-el-Mandeb) by Houthis and Iran. And these are not primary naval powers. She also has no clue about modern naval warfare, be that surface or submarine, or, for that matter, what tactical-technical parameters of weapon systems are and how they translate into the operational and strategic realities. She simply doesn't have the tool kit--so, that means she is very qualified to teach to the "finest fighting force in history", which loses all of its wars. She is an Exhibit A of a product of the US degree mills, where they prepare demagogues. Just a reminder, again ...
This is for geographically and tactically challenged--this is the area (in this case Atlantic) a single carrier of 3M22 Zircon and P-800 Oniks controls in a salvo scenario. Don't tell her about Search Theory, Probability Densities Maps and other shit like that--she wouldn't even grasp the significance. COFM, you know.
... impact. No, this is not Russian rah-rah, this is merely a representation of REAL war, not even Iranian strikes on US bases, or heroism of US Marines at Khe Sahn under the most adverse conditions, none of it comes even close to a density and fire impact (огневое воздействие) of the combined MLRS strike.
You can theoretically survive the artillery strikes, especially when you have with what to respond and suppress--your combat aviation, your own artillery et al. Here, you can do nothing even in dugouts, especially when you get "warmed up" with some thermobaric nightmare from 100 + km away by Tornado-S and Smerch with Grad following suit with "polishing" of the area. The level of casualties in this case is counted in 50%+ of the personnel on company to battalion (depending on area), with wounded wishing they were dead and the rest completely demoralized and shell-shocked reducing combat value of the unit to about zero.
They really don't teach this in the US military academies because they are still discussing how F-18 with AIM-9 Sidewinder in Top Gun: Maverick shoots down SU-57 with ... well, let's not go there. But that's the reality of the modern combined arms. No NATO serviceman has experience with this on a prolonged basis--they are either killed or do not want to return to a deadly task of "studying" Russian way of war. But then again, no US War College can even conceive the fact that in real war with Russia operational and strategic depth is no obstacle for Russian stand-off weaponry dealing with HQs anywhere and disrupting Command and Control completely. In conclusion, here are some sounds from Kiev last night.
People wrote me in the comments--the father of that poor girl has been released from TTzK due to public outcry, including from Russia. That's really good news. Poor child.